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Europe is at the forefront of the shift to net zero, both in ambition, but also in terms of how to make rapid and deep decarbonisation a reality. The world needs to reduce carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions as quickly as possible. Not doing so means we will need to turn to expensive and unproven technologies to withdraw CO2 from the atmosphere later this century.
The EU Commission proposed a carbon border adjustment mechanism (CBAM) as part of today’s “Fit for 55” package. James Whiteside, global head of multi-commodity research at Wood Mackenzie, said: “As the first mechanism of its kind, the CBAM is being designed in consultation with industry to avoid unintended consequences. “A CBAM that does not cover a substantial portion of the production chain will encourage carbon leakage - pushing emissions beyond the borders of the EU or shifting competition between EU and non-EU producers to the next stage of the value chain.”
Today's announcement outlining the UK's plan to set a legally binding 78% greenhouse gas emissions reduction target (on 1990 levels) through its Sixth Carbon Budget is another significant milestone on the road to its goal of net-zero emissions by 2050.
Up to the mid-2020s, approximately 70% of wind and solar development activity will be supported by auctions. However, data from across Europe highlights that market-level dynamics are shaping the approach of would-be developers. As such, auctions alone will not be enough to deliver much-needed capacity, according to Wood Mackenzie.
With hopes of vaccines setting a better course for 2021, this year will see policymakers and market participants focus on initial but substantive steps towards net-zero objectives.
Prime Minister Boris Johnson has announced the UK's new 10-point climate action plan.
Wood Mackenzie today delivered a comprehensive roadmap for the North Sea’s future to the OGTC, setting out the critical technologies needed to deliver an integrated net zero energy system on the UK Continental Shelf (UKCS), positioning the UK as a world-leader in the move to a low carbon world.
The success of Europe’s transition to net-zero emissions by 2050 will hinge on the flexibility of its power system.
Speaking after French major Total announced it planned to buy a 50% stake in Indian company Adani Green Energy’s solar unit, Tom Heggarty, principal analyst with Wood Mackenzie’s Energy Transition Practice, said: “Total has been extremely active in the power and renewables M&A market as it seeks to diversify its activities and grow its exposure to the zero-carbon power sector."
Installers have already shared anecdotes about growing residential storage volumes in California, and Wood Mackenzie expects a large uptick early next year as marketing efforts for solar-plus-storage started earlier this year bear fruit.
The EIB's new financing criteria will make lending to gas projects very difficult. It highlights that gas is also increasingly in the spotlight of the climate debate.
If European member states deliver their individual National Energy and Climate Plans, renewables will account for around 53% of power supply in 2030. Europe is on track to hit this target, although the performance of individual countries will vary, according to analysis from Wood Mackenzie.
Total announced today its partnership with Adani Group which includes two LNG terminals, Dhamra in East India and potentially Mundra in the West, as well as Adani Gas Limited, one of the 4 main distributors of city gas in India of which Adani holds 74.8% and of which Total will acquire 37.4%.
Today, Wednesday 20th February 2019, Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez presented the country’s climate action plan for 2030 to 2050. Commenting on the announcement, Wood Mackenzie Power & Renewables Senior Research Analyst, Brian Gaylord, said:
We took a closer look at the impact of the UK government’s proposal to ban the sale of new petrol and diesel cars by 2040.
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