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Andy McConn, research analyst at Wood Mackenzie, shares his thoughts following Concho Resources announced acquisition of RSP Permian Inc. in an $8 billion all-share deal, the largest purely Permian deal ever.
On Wednesday, 21 March 2018, the US held its region-wide GoM Lease Sale 250, attracting 159 bids from 33 participating companies, with high bids totalling US$124.8 million. The total of high bids represents a modest increase of about US$3 million over last year's August region wide Lease Sale 249 but is still a lacklustre result.
Analysis of global oil cost curves indicates that many conventional pre-FID projects – even deepwater developments - are now competitive on a breakeven basis with US Lower 48 tight oil. However, this competitiveness has come at the expense of volumes. The trade-off of cost efficiency versus volumes means that in the medium- to long-term, the cost of supply is set to increase, highlighting the US Lower 48’s role as an important marginal barrel producer.
A new study by Wood Mackenzie, examines this shift in the oil market, and assesses the challenges and opportunities facing the market and US producers and midstream operators.
A new cap on production from the Netherlands' giant Groningen gas field may have an impact on the security of Europe's gas supply, hurt Dutch treasury receipts and prompt a reassessment of the field's remaining value.
According to Wood Mackenzie's latest analysis, decommissioning Asia Pacific's offshore assets – nearly 2,600 platforms and 35,000 wells – could cost over US$100 billion.
Mexico’s second deepwater licensing round closed today on a high note with 19 of 29 offered blocks awarded, raising more than US$500 million in cash payments. Shell dominated the auction, snapping up nearly half of all blocks awarded. In the Perdido Area, the company won five of six awarded blocks.
BP announced it made two discoveries on the UK Continental Shelf in 2017 - Capercaillie, in the North Sea, and Achmelvich, in the West of Shetland. Wood Mackenzie believes the finds prove there's still life in the ultra-mature province.
Driven by an impressive array of licensing and farm-in opportunities, plus an upsurge in exploration activity, Latin America’s upstream sector is poised for a banner year in 2018, according to a new insight by Wood Mackenzie, Latin America Upstream: What to look for in 2018.
The U.S. deepwater Gulf of Mexico sector has struggled since crude dropped in late 2014. However, as costs finally settle at a bottom and operators set a new standard for operational efficiency, 2018 might just be a turning point for the sector.
The impact of the 2014 oil price collapse is still being felt across the upstream sector. Operators have cut investment, deferred projects and implemented tough cost discipline, slashing US$910 billion from global capital expenditure estimates for 2015-2020. While many operators believe the cuts will stick, a new survey released today by natural resources consultancy Wood Mackenzie indicates the pictured is more nuanced.
2018 looks set to be a brighter year for upstream oil and gas companies
OPEC and non-OPEC producers agree to extend production curbs through 2018
Hedging activity surged in Q3 2017 as oil producers rushed to lock in rising prices for future production, according to Wood Mackenzie's latest analysis of oil and gas hedging activity.
Libya's oil production has increased steeply from August 2016’s low point of below 300,000 barrels per day (b/d) to around 850,000 b/d at present, passing the 1 million b/d barrier in July. But Wood Mackenzie believes Libya may now be reaching its near-term production limits and future growth will be gradual.
To mark the start of the India Energy Forum by CERA week, Wood Mackenzie analysts weigh in on the country's oil and gas outlook and production prospects.
Following ExxonMobil's (NYSE: XOM) announcement this morning of its fifth new oil discovery after drilling the Turbot-1 well offshore Guyana, Pablo Medina, Wood Mackenzie's senior analyst, Latin America Upstream has the following comments.
Following Brazil's record oil field auction yesterday, where ExxonMobil (NYSE: XOM) vastly expanded its presence in the country with winning stakes in ten blocks, including eight deepwater blocks in the Campos basin, Horacio Cuenca, Research Director, Upstream Latin America at Wood Mackenzie offers the following commentary.
Following the announcement this morning that Talos energy and its partners Premier Oil and Sierra Oil & Gas have made a discovery at Zama-1, drilled in Block 7 offshore Mexico, please find below initial comment from Pablo Medina, Wood Mackenzie's senior analyst, Latin America Upstream.
Technology has played a huge role in the rapid rise of production in the Permian. Operators are bullish on the region's long-term potential and poised to exploit the Permian at an unparalleled pace over the next few years. However, according to a report by Wood Mackenzie, Geology vs. technology: how sustainable is Permian tight oil growth?, geological constraints that may arise as the play is aggressively developed could lead to production shortfalls, and in turn, higher prices early next decade.
Commenting on BHP Billiton's plans to divest its U.S shale unit, Jon Weintraub, research analyst at Wood Mackenzie, said: "BHP's announced divesture of its onshore U.S. business is a pretty momentous step-change in its corporate strategy and marks the culmination of its push to be a major shale player. We expect to see all options being considered with a substantial amount of interest from multiple pools of buyers."
When will tight oil make money calculates that the five largest tight oil players could become cash flow positive by 2020?v
In the first half of the year, the industry has already witnessed 15 project sanctions, almost comparable to project sanctions in the whole of 2016.
To gauge the state of the sector, Wood Mackenzie asked its client base to share their thoughts on a number of key themes, and the responses were analysed to give a comprehensive view of how the sector’s key players view the future.
If Asia's largest upstream players want to grow production, Wood Mackenzie expects them to diversify into the US tight oil market.
The seven most advanced developments are expected to see production increases of 43% in 2017.
The deepwater industry has emerged from the downturn leaner and more competitive with US tight oil
According to research by Wood Mackenzie, the APAC upstream sector holds considerable value as the majors divest mature and mid-life assets in the region.
Wood Mackenzie expects a modest recovery due to the improving oil price.
Confidence will return to the sector in 2017, with exploration and production spend to rise by 3% to US$450 billion.
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