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In a recent study, Wood Mackenzie forecasts Australia's East Coast gas prices to rise up to 30 percent to between A$10 and A$13 /per gigajoule by the mid 2020s.
Look no further than Mexico for an example of what a successful energy reform looks like. Over the past five years, the country has dramatically overhauled its energy landscape. A new report analyses the impacts of the energy reform on the country's upstream sector.
Shale gas in China has seen significant progress over the last decade, growing to nearly 600 wells and 9 bcm of production last year. In its latest analysis, Wood Mackenzie projects Chinese shale gas production to almost double to 17 bcm in 2020.
As previously forecasted by Wood Mackenzie, 2017 saw a significant recovery in upstream FIDs, with the number of project sanctions more than doubled compared to 2016. Wood Mackenzie expects a similar total this year - circa 30 major project FIDs - supported by continued prudence in industry spending.
Andy McConn, research analyst at Wood Mackenzie, shares his thoughts following Concho Resources announced acquisition of RSP Permian Inc. in an $8 billion all-share deal, the largest purely Permian deal ever.
Analysis of global oil cost curves indicates that many conventional pre-FID projects – even deepwater developments - are now competitive on a breakeven basis with US Lower 48 tight oil. However, this competitiveness has come at the expense of volumes. The trade-off of cost efficiency versus volumes means that in the medium- to long-term, the cost of supply is set to increase, highlighting the US Lower 48’s role as an important marginal barrel producer.
A new cap on production from the Netherlands' giant Groningen gas field may have an impact on the security of Europe's gas supply, hurt Dutch treasury receipts and prompt a reassessment of the field's remaining value.
According to Wood Mackenzie's latest analysis, decommissioning Asia Pacific's offshore assets – nearly 2,600 platforms and 35,000 wells – could cost over US$100 billion.
The impact of the 2014 oil price collapse is still being felt across the upstream sector. Operators have cut investment, deferred projects and implemented tough cost discipline, slashing US$910 billion from global capital expenditure estimates for 2015-2020. While many operators believe the cuts will stick, a new survey released today by natural resources consultancy Wood Mackenzie indicates the pictured is more nuanced.
2018 looks set to be a brighter year for upstream oil and gas companies
OPEC and non-OPEC producers agree to extend production curbs through 2018
China's introduction of the '2+26' cities policy earlier this year calls for restricted use of coal for both residential heating and industrial purposes. This has significant ramifications for the Chinese winter season where demand is traditionally high. As an alternative to coal, gas demand could rise by 23 bcm this year compared to previous winters. Facing the most severe shortages is northern China, particularly Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei (abbreviated as BTH), where demand is highly seasonal. This region will make up half or 10 bcm of the incremental winter gas demand in 2017.
The introduction of India's Goods and Services Tax (GST) has lifted oil demand in the country this year. Crude oil, natural gas, diesel and gasoline are currently exempt from the GST. However, diesel and gasoline demand are indirectly affected by the impact of GST on vehicle prices and sales, especially in the logistics sector.
The Trump administration has been championing US energy exports as its preferred instrument for narrowing its trade deficit in the wake of the US shale boom. A combination of rising export capacity in the US, LNG import demand growth in China, and political cheerleading has underpinned an uptick in LNG exports to China this year via third party, spot trades. Will Trump's trip to Beijing seal the deal for some major LNG deals?
Libya's oil production has increased steeply from August 2016’s low point of below 300,000 barrels per day (b/d) to around 850,000 b/d at present, passing the 1 million b/d barrier in July. But Wood Mackenzie believes Libya may now be reaching its near-term production limits and future growth will be gradual.
When will tight oil make money calculates that the five largest tight oil players could become cash flow positive by 2020?v
In the first half of the year, the industry has already witnessed 15 project sanctions, almost comparable to project sanctions in the whole of 2016.
To gauge the state of the sector, Wood Mackenzie asked its client base to share their thoughts on a number of key themes, and the responses were analysed to give a comprehensive view of how the sector’s key players view the future.
If Asia's largest upstream players want to grow production, Wood Mackenzie expects them to diversify into the US tight oil market.
The seven most advanced developments are expected to see production increases of 43% in 2017.
The deepwater industry has emerged from the downturn leaner and more competitive with US tight oil
According to research by Wood Mackenzie, the APAC upstream sector holds considerable value as the majors divest mature and mid-life assets in the region.
Wood Mackenzie expects a modest recovery due to the improving oil price.
Egypt's fortunes look set to change after five years of falling production and switching from a net exporter to a net importer.
Confidence will return to the sector in 2017, with exploration and production spend to rise by 3% to US$450 billion.
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