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The slower pace of the energy transition is influencing Big Oil’s capital allocation. What share of cash flow is the industry re-investing? How much will upstream spend rise in 2025? Why have NOCs become the biggest spenders on low carbon?
The WoodMac team were out in force at last week’s Gastech 2024 in Houston, the gas and LNG industry’s leading conference. Here are our collective high-level takeaways.
The LNG industry is on a roll. But the pace of future growth can’t be taken for granted. Ahead of next week’s Gastech conference in Houston, we identify three structural challenges that must be addressed to keep the LNG bandwagon rolling.
European voters just threw a spanner in the works of the EU’s 2030 decarbonisation targets. Last month’s European parliamentary elections saw a dramatic shift in power to nationalist and populist parties, which tapped into, among other issues, voter scepticism over the pace and sheer cost of the energy transition. We look at the impact of the elections on tackling climate change.
The US and EU have slapped big tariff increases on Chinese EVs, responding to the threat of China flooding those regions with low-cost electric vehicles. Restricting EV and battery imports not only threatens the pace of road transport decarbonisation, but higher tariffs could also negatively impact domestic automakers.
Higher interest rates could stall investment in green technologies. Learn what Policymakers can do to keep the energy transition on track in this analysis.
With resilient oil demand and a positive outlook for prices, operators are doing all they can to shift spend away from decommissioning. What are the options to keep deepwater wells running for longer?
Our new Delayed Energy Transition scenario reflects the increasing risk that the transition will be much slower than a Paris-aligned pathway.
How to develop a low-carbon energy system and maximise revenue from a mature oil and gas province? Many countries face the challenge the UK is trying to deal with today. Its two main political parties have upped the ante on tax rates ahead of an election - and run the risk of stifling investment. How much investment is threatened? Is there a fiscal system that works for both upstream and low carbon? Can other countries learn from the UK?
A slower energy transition means higher demand for fossil fuels, heaping further pressure on oil and gas companies already battling to reduce their emissions. Carbon offsets can help.
The cancellation of NuScale's small modular nuclear reactor project in November cast a shadow over this nascent technology. Yet the project pipeline continues to build, reflecting the industry's belief that SMRs can be a gamechanger for nuclear. How big is the current pipeline? What is the potential scale of SMRs' contribution to net zero? Which countries and developers are leading the way? How much do costs need to come down?
Green hydrogen is expected to be the winner among the ever-widening hydrogen colour palette. Its potential for zero emissions is the attraction, assuming scaling up of this nascent industry delivers molecules that are cost-competitive. What factors could spoil green hydrogen's low-carbon credentials? Could blue hydrogen have lower carbon intensity than green? Are there solutions that green hydrogen developers can fix?
Can the rest of the world compete with China?
What does it all mean for the organic investment required to deliver the new supply to meet demand?
The challenges in accelerating the energy transition
Low-carbon hydrogen will play a critical role in decarbonisation, contributing at least 4% of global energy demand by 2050. Who are best placed to become market leaders?
Petrochemicals may be experiencing a severe cyclical downturn, triggered by excessive capacity build-out, but it’s one of the sector’s best long-term bets. Our experts discuss the timing of it's recovery and whether the downturn might spark change.
How do the Euro Majors respond?
Falling demand and a bigger price premium for higher grades
Climate policy, commodity prices and corporate strategies
Investment in energy supply must increase to US$2.7 trillion a year
The oil market has come to life, with prices finally delivering on our expectations for 2023. Our oil experts, Ann-Louise Hittle and Alan Gelder, join Simon Flowers to discuss where the market goes from here and what this could mean for the economy and politics.
Investment in the grid and storage must match renewables growth
Assessing the risks in a strong investment upcycle
The first Edge was published in December 2015. To mark the 300th edition, here are our top game-changers in energy markets over the last eight years.
Technological progress holds real promise
Targets are gas and strengthening core positions
The US takes a lead by incentivising equipment manufacturers.
On this week's The Edge, Simon Flowers examines how the Russia-Ukraine war is changing energy markets.
What else lies ahead in 2023? Simon Flowers discusses five themes that will shape the world of energy and natural resources – the opportunities, the challenges and the associated risks in the coming year.
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