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The coronavirus outbreak is a rapidly evolving news story – and a real wildcard for bulks demand. Here's a summary of our latest forecasts for steel, iron ore, metallurgical coal and thermal coal.
Principal Economist Peter Martin’s 2000-word report “Global spread of Covid-19 derailing the world economy” examines the impact of coronavirus on the world economy. Get the highlights of Peter’s research here or purchase the full report for a more in-depth discussion.
Having demonstrated remarkable resilience for the past two months, the price of iron ore has taken a big hit this week – and we think it's the start of a trend, not a blip.
The coronavirus outbreak means the outlook is evolving quickly. Here’s this week’s view from our analysts.
The Task Force on Climate-related Financial Disclosures released recommendations years ago but getting to grips with the finer details remains a challenge for companies.
But the appetite of China’s consumers for Aussie tenderloin and Merlot is insignificant in terms of overall trade. Iron ore, coal and LNG are what really matter.
I asked our experts what they believe governments and companies should be doing to ensure that they emerge stronger from the crisis.
As sustainability goes mainstream, a new white paper unpacks the ESG challenges facing investors and mining companies.
Nickel has ignored western market fundamentals, where demand has dried up due to the global pandemic, and prices have soared 30% since April. But these dysfunctional dynamics won't last.
Materials use is on a course to double by 2050, with waste generation increasing by 70%, putting an unsustainable burden on our planet. It’s time for a materials transition, with the global scale and ambition of the energy transition.
Miners are facing greater pressure than ever to cut emissions. We examine the policies and operations of the five largest diversified miners – Anglo American, BHP, Glencore, Rio Tinto and Vale – to see how they are making headway and where the key challenges lie.
The energy transition raises many questions, including: how will we meet the flexibility requirements of evolving power systems? What role will hydrogen play in the new energy landscape? And can the energy transition’s materials needs be met?
Scrap could help to decarbonise the metals and mining industry, and fill a looming supply gap – but policy change will be crucial.
With copper on the frontline of the energy transition and a mining super-cycle on the way, can the red metal meet the challenge of transformational demand? Julian Kettle, Senior Vice President, Vice Chair Metals and Mining asks whether a mismatch between the rhetoric and the reality of supply development could constrain copper market growth – and even slow the pace of the energy transition.
Even a global pandemic couldn’t keep climate change from climbing the corporate agenda in 2020, and that momentum will only build in 2021. Which trends will have the biggest impact on extractive industries like oil and gas and mining in the year ahead? Read our analysts’ predictions.
The copper industry may be shooting for the stars on demand — but the supply challenge could bring it back down to earth. In the second of a two-part series, Julian Kettle, Senior Vice President, Vice Chair Metals and Mining asks: can the top producers arrest a decline in output with organic project development? Or is it time to buy growth?
The global pandemic saw demand for mined commodities slow to a virtual standstill and prices slump. But are we now on the brink of a new super-cycle – or even a super-charged super-cycle? Or are the markets getting ahead of themselves?
At present, China accounts for almost 75% of global lithium-ion battery manufacturing capacity and this share is set to increase through the short term with its build-out of new facilities.
What’s driving demand for tin? And could a lack of ESG-compliant supply affect the pace of the energy transition?
Will falling costs secure solar’s dominance in power? Can Europe slash its emissions by 2030? Will China win the clean energy race? What would an accelerated energy transition mean for oil and gas prices? Find out in our Horizons recap.
With China buying around a third of everything Australia exports on a value basis, the downward spiral in Sino-Australian diplomatic relations is clearly of concern.
With ever more bullish price forecasts, copper is flying high – but is enough attention being paid to the risk of substitution associated with such high prices? Julian Kettle, Senior Vice President, Vice Chair Metals and Mining, argues that the threat from aluminium as a viable energy transmission alternative is being vastly underestimated.
Aluminium is both a major contributor to global greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and one of the key energy transition metals needed to build a low-carbon future. Julian Kettle, Senior Vice President, Vice Chair Metals and Mining, asks: can initiatives to cut aluminium’s carbon intensity offset the impact of increasing production?
The Inga hydropower scheme in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) could be the key to the green electrification of Africa. But could the project also be a catalyst for the development of vast underutilised resources, creating a centre for low carbon metals production?
Carbon taxes could well provide the economic incentive needed to deliver rapid decarbonisation of the global economy. But what impact will they have on marginal costs and prices for mined commodities? And how does the competitive position of each commodity change under different carbon tax scenarios?
Decarbonisation targets are ramping up, but are the incentives and penalties around carbon emissions really sufficient to put the world on a 2 °C pathway this side of 2030?
Putting zinc, copper and lead production under the microscope: what is green smelting, and is it achievable?
The energy transition starts and ends with metals, so why isn’t ensuring supply high on the agenda?
Transportation accounts for 23% of global emissions, so it’s unsurprising that decarbonising the sector is one of the four key pillars of COP26. Dramatically accelerated electric vehicle (EV) uptake is needed to put the world on a 2° C trajectory. Yet there is a very big battery shaped barrier to rapid electrification
Constraints on delivering the metals for an accelerated energy transition exist at every level, from insufficient investment to a growing shortage of mining engineering graduates. Julian Kettle, Vice Chair, Metals and Mining, looks at some basic principles behind tackling a complex challenge.
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