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A healthy crop of oil and gas projects are up for FID in 2021. If they go ahead, the spend could reverse the downward trend in upstream investment. But sanctioning new projects is getting harder.
The return of Iranian exports to the oil market in 2021 was a clear risk. If sanctions are lifted, how much oil could Iran produce and how quickly? What wiggle room would OPEC+ have to accommodate Iran's exports? What would be the effect on the oil price?
US Lower 48 Independents’ finances are looking rosier as capital discipline and higher oil prices work their magic. Will a cash flow bonanza lead to more drilling?
The oil and gas sector is bouncing back strong. After savaging costs and spend in response to last year's crisis, and with Brent soaring over US$65/bbl, we expect a resurgence of upstream cash generation in 2021. How much free cash flow will the sector generate? What will companies do with it?
Led by Asia, and with vaccine roll-out underway, global economic growth should bounce back strong in 2021. It sets the scene for a much better year in commodity markets. But do surging oil, gas and metals prices point to something more lasting?
Structural oversupply has already led to refinery closures, with more to follow. But some competitively weak refineries can be repurposed to produce low-carbon biodiesel, one of the few segments of oil demand with strong growth prospects.
The 2020 collapse in oil price hasn’t just killed tight oil’s growth, it smashed volumes down in the space of just a few months. The big question is whether it will ever return to a growth path.
We hosted the CEOs from Shell, Total, Eni and SSE as well as senior executives from numerous other leading oil and gas companies and utilities over three days at our EMEA Energy Summit. So what were the hot topics?
The UK's commitment to net-zero carbon by 2050 is a wake-up call for the oil and gas industry. Could the offshore industry pivot to zero-carbon technologies and become a core part of the UK's sustainable future?
Alongside climate change, the rising tide of environmental waste, plastic included, is society’s other sustainability challenge. Simon Flowers asked Guy Bailey and his Petrochemicals Research team how we can get on top of the problem.
Gas is to be the bridging fuel of the transition, its lower carbon intensity supporting its position in the energy mix longer than coal and oil. Yet nothing can be taken for granted as decarbonisation policy tilts the playing field away from fossil fuels.
It's no surprise that a downturn sparks oil and gas sector consolidation. What's interesting about Chevron's bid for Noble Energy is how Big Oil's strategy has changed. In the Edge this week, Simon Flowers takes a closer look.
Exploration spend is heading south again as companies slash budgets to conserve cash. This downcycle though is different, with companies formulating decarbonisation strategies and peak oil demand on the horizon. Is exploration now facing an existential crisis?
The discovery of huge gas resources has made the Eastern Mediterranean an industry hot spot. Majors, NOCs and independents see a growth opportunity that could last for decades. LNG exports might be the path to full commercialisation. But geopolitics stand in the way. How can the interested parties find a way forward?
How resilient are the Majors' upstream portfolios? Which Majors lead on resilience metrics? How do companies build resilience into portfolios? Find out in this week's Edge.
Will the effect of coronavirus be more lasting for demand or supply? Will the oil price be lower-for-longer? Or, if demand recovers, could the sharp reduction in upstream investment lead to a tighter market and higher prices? Find out more in this week's Edge.
Future energy demand patterns could look very different depending on policy choices and the societal response to the pandemic. Our three scenarios suggest oil demand in particular is at risk. How will the increased uncertainty influence corporate strategy? Will we see diversifying companies speed up investment in decarbonisation? What are the options for pure oil and gas players, big or small?
Heat pumps are proven zero-carbon technology that could displace fossil fuel systems in the home. How do they work? What are the economic challenges to scale up for the mass market? How is policy shaping up to incentivise switching? How much gas demand is at risk and when? Find out in this week's Edge.
The steep decline in oil demand is putting the entire system under pressure. Will there be sufficient storage globally to cope? Will we see more production shut-in? What are the prospects for demand recovery? Find out more in this week's Edge.
The oil price collapse has plunged the oil sector into negative cash flow. Can the M&A market help companies bolster finances? Find out more in this week's Edge.
The coronavirus outbreak has derailed OPEC+, thrown the oil market into turmoil and sent an already unloved sector into freefall. What are the implications?
Guyana’s oil, only just being commercialised, promises to transform the nation’s wealth. How can the South American country make the most of it? Find out more in this week's Edge.
Have we passed 'peak growth' for tight oil? What are the implications of slowing growth for the crude market? And how will pipeline owners adapt their strategies? Find out in this week's Edge.
LNG demand has boomed globally in recent years, with rampant demand from China the main driver. But as coronavirus spreads, the economy is weakening, as is demand across all commodities. How will this impact the global LNG market? Find out in this week's Edge.
Can a decade be a turning point? So much happened in the energy sector, the 2010s might be seen as just that.
Energy markets are in the midst of profound change – we're getting used to that. But what big, identifiable key risks might lurk in the shadows in the next 12 months that could make us change our view for 2020 and beyond? Here are five.
Will oil demand growth recover in 2020? Is global supply still growing apace? How is US tight oil investment and production being affected by negative investor sentiment? Have the production cuts of 2019 balanced the market? Do they need to be extended or adjusted? Will fundamentals or geopolitics determine oil prices? We answer some of the big questions on OPEC’s agenda ahead of its December meeting in Vienna.
Big Oil’s risk appetite has changed. It needs to continue to replace reserves for the foreseeable future but is looking for lower risk options than exploration. Discovered resources can be part of the solution, though opportunities to develop a giant oil field such as Buzios in Brazil, in the heart of an industry hot spot, only come around once in a blue moon. So why the lack of bids from the Majors?
Bigger the Majors may be, but are the companies better placed to cope with future price uncertainty and the energy transition? Find out in this week's Edge.
How is US tight oil performing in this febrile environment? Simon Flowers asks R.T. Dukes and his team of Lower 48 researchers.
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