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Our view of the year ahead, including the impact of Trump's re-election on our oil price forecast, a look at refining margins, ethylene capacity and China's overcapacity affects downstream chemicals markets.
Analysis of global oil cost curves indicates that many conventional pre-FID projects – even deepwater developments - are now competitive on a breakeven basis with US Lower 48 tight oil. However, this competitiveness has come at the expense of volumes. The trade-off of cost efficiency versus volumes means that in the medium- to long-term, the cost of supply is set to increase, highlighting the US Lower 48’s role as an important marginal barrel producer.
Government starts pulling the levers to bolster the economy
Oil prices are on a roll, the 10% jump in January means Brent has tripled since the dark days of April 2020. How will the oil market develop in 2021 and can the price rise further still?
What's driven the rally, what is the outlook for supply and demand fundamentals in 2022, and how will geopolitics, including the Russia/Ukraine crisis, play out?
The attack on Saudi Arabia’s oil infrastructure took out over 5% of global oil supply and temporarily pushed up prices by 20%. What does the attack say about the security of oil’s supply chain?
After over a year of trade tensions, the US and China signed a “phase one” trade deal on 16 January. As part of the deal, China has agreed to increase the value of energy imports by US$52.4 billion above 2017 levels over the next two years. What could it mean for the oil market?
Our experts unpack the 5 key trends shaping Asia’s oil and refining markets in 2025 and what to expect in 2026
Easily understand trends in the global oil market with our informed, independent view on oil prices and their key drivers.
What opportunities, challenges and risks does the world of energy and natural resources face in 2024? Our experts share their thoughts.
For the global and regional energy sector, Kazakhstan’s stability matters. What are the short- and long-term consequences of recent events?
As demand collapses, how will the market deal with oversupply? Find out in this week's Edge.
The second half of 2018 was a very challenging time for refining. This weak commercial performance was due to a whole host of adverse market developments. Are these developments temporary or are they here to stay?
Recent events have created a perfect storm in the oil markets, the likes of which have never been seen before. Do these clouds carry any silver lining? Listen to the latest episode of the Asia Pacific Energy podcast.
Competition is fierce and struggling Asian refiners must now take full advantage of the abundant crude options to maximise their margins.
As winter 2023 comes to an end in the US, read about some of the key gas production and pricing updates from the last quarter
The near-term impact of the coronavirus outbreak on oil demand remains uncertain as much depends upon when and how China’s manufacturing industry restarts after the currently extended Lunar New Year public holiday.
Will the effect of coronavirus be more lasting for demand or supply? Will the oil price be lower-for-longer? Or, if demand recovers, could the sharp reduction in upstream investment lead to a tighter market and higher prices? Find out more in this week's Edge.
ADIPEC will take place from 4-7 November in Abu Dhabi. The event will focus on the role of energy in driving a comprehensive transformation that benefits people, the planet, and our collective prosperity.
There are signs that the coronavirus is gradually being brought under control in many countries, but any pick-up in activity will be tentative and uneven, and will face headwinds from the chaos in the global economy.
Good news on Covid-19 vaccines points to a rebound next year, but there are still some difficult months ahead
Understand the prospects for future oil and NGL supply, and make astute planning, trading and investment decisions.
A new tariff plan on imports would affect US consumers, global oil markets and refining, if implemented post US election.
Those hoping that recent oil-price weakness will prompt US producers to pull back drilling activity and ease the glut of oil supply may need to keep waiting.
What are the key risks and uncertainties in 2019? Simon picks the ones our analysts worry could threaten our base case, including oil demand downside, tight oil upside and Iran export volumes.
Will geopolitics forever dog the transportation sector, even when electric vehicles (EVs) replace internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicles? Simon Flowers investigates.
Can a decade be a turning point? So much happened in the energy sector, the 2010s might be seen as just that.
The average retail gasoline price in the United States is now close to U.S.$3 a gallon, while in Germany, gasoline is retailing at an average of €1.40 per litre. We last saw prices like these in November 2014. Could we see a repeat of the 2014 reprieve?
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