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This year may prove to be a strong one for the refining sector, but 2020 has had a difficult start. Wood Mackenzie expects some turbulence this year as a number of factors come together – geopolitical risk, the impact of IMO 2020 regulations, and US tight oil production slowing, among them.
Could Iran Sanctions See Brent Spike to U.S.$100 a barrel? The oil market faces a precarious few months. The imposition of U.S. secondary sanctions on Iranian exports on November 5 is the critical factor behind Brent’s rally to more than U.S.$80 a barrel in October. There’s enough supply to meet demand this winter, but the margin for error is worryingly narrow.
The sharp response of the physical market to the arrival of cold weather suggests fundamentals are tight and prices could go higher, whether it’s a cold winter or not. There are four main reasons why.
The steep decline in oil demand is putting the entire system under pressure. Will there be sufficient storage globally to cope? Will we see more production shut-in? What are the prospects for demand recovery? Find out more in this week's Edge.
On Monday 9th March 2020, the oil price saw its biggest fall in 30 years. Here’s our analysts’ rapid response to the oil price crash. Look out for more detailed analysis in the days and weeks to come.
The blackouts raise important questions about investment, innovation and electricity market design, as the share of variable renewable generation on the grid increases.
For the last Energy Pulse of 2019, WoodMac experts have given their predictions of what to expect in 2020. Their forecasts include: a slowdown in US oil production growth; further asset sales by the large international oil companies; strong growth in solar power to give another record year for installations; mounting pressure from investors over climate risk and financial strength; rising carbon emissions, and a revival in awareness of the importance of metals to the energy transition. There are also our selections of the Quote of the Year and Chart of the Year.
Hydrogen made from water has been discussed as an energy carrier for 150 years. A steep decline in its cost means it may at last become viable
Bipartisan agreement sets time limits for environmental reviews, but is seen as only “initial steps” towards more efficient permitting.
What will shape the world of energy and natural resources in 2022? Simon Flowers picks five key themes, from the energy crisis to the metals supercycle, transition cost challenges, higher investment and the chances of US$100/bbl oil.
Oil demand has gone into a tailspin. We now expect Q1 global oil consumption to be 2.7 million b/d lower than the same period a year ago.
The global oil industry has been bracing for a crisis since oil prices fell below US$60 per barrel (/bbl), a level unseen since 2021. Producers are preparing for potential further declines, with investment in the US Lower 48 tight oil sector particularly responsive.
In this special report about tight oil, Linda Htien, Senior Research Manager, US Lower 48 Upstream Research, and Ann-Louise Hittle, Vice President, Oils Research examine the forces slowing the growth of tight oil
The share of the US vehicle market taken by EVs has fallen sharply this year, underlining the challenges the industry faces. Support from the federal government will be essential for the electrification of road transport to make real progress.
What does a net-zero pathway mean for the oil and gas industry? As capital markets and an ever-widening stakeholder community demand clarity and action on decarbonisation, more of our customers are talking to us about how they should incorporate such scenarios into their planning.
How will the oil price crash hit upstream spending? What supply might be shut in? Where does this leave the upstream service sector? Our experts share their analysis.
If the world acts decisively to limit global warming to 2°C by 2050, the scale of change will revolutionise the energy industry. Progressive electrification will squeeze the most polluting hydrocarbons out of the energy mix, nearly eliminating their markets. Oil demand will shrink, and with it, so will the power of major oil producers. Gas demand will remain resilient, but business models will need to evolve.
After a tumultuous 2020, what will shape the energy world in 2021? We look at five themes to watch – economic boom, action on climate change, oil demand, industry finances and upstream investment.
As the Covid-19 virus spreads to 52 countries, fears of its economic impact have sent stock markets and oil prices tumbling. This and more in Ed Crooks' Energy Pulse.
From energy security to Upstream 2.0, our Global Upstream Update explores some of the biggest issues facing the industry.
As winter fades, so too has the support for natural gas prices. Henry Hub is entering a bearish spring, driven by a potent mix of waning heating demand, surging supply, and mounting macroeconomic uncertainty.
In a new report, Global upstream trade war impacts, our upstream research teams shared a view of what this means for production, investment and costs.
Our COP26 briefing considers the implications for the oil market and refining industry of a global concerted effort to reduce emissions and limit a temperature rise by 2050 to 2 °C.
Tech companies have been matching their electricity use with purchases of wind and solar power. Now Google wants to go further and run its operations on renewables 24/7
Reputational, legal and political risks meant there was little interest in a first-ever lease sale in the area. But Alaska’s oil industry has other more promising prospects
The European Commission is proposing a new emissions-based import duty to prevent “carbon leakage”, but could face opposition from the US. This and more from Ed Crooks in this week's Energy Pulse.
The invasion of Ukraine has had an immediate effect on the global economy and markets. What are the lasting implications for commodities?
The president has asked refiners to increase output. Effective solutions will be more complex.
Generators see big opportunities in the rise of AI. Politicians in the US have concerns about the impact on customers.
The impact of Chinese EVs, ambitious NOCs, the Saudi storage boom and more, as Wood Mackenzie analysts look ahead to next year
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