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If high interest rates persist, transitioning to a net zero global economy will be even harder and more costly. The higher cost of borrowing negatively affects renewables and nascent technologies, compared to more established oil and gas, and metals and mining sectors, which remain somewhat insulated.
Home to half of the world’s population and contributing a third to the global GDP, the Asia Pacific region is expected to maintain a 50% share of global primary energy demand and a 60% share of global carbon emissions until 2050. This trend is unlikely to change without strong policy action and investment. However, the region still has the potential to turn these challenges into opportunities and become a global leader in the energy transition.
How can India attain its net zero emissions goal by 2070, in line with global pledges to reach net zero emissions by mid-century? Wood Mackenzie analyses the scenario in its latest report ‘India energy transition pathways 2070’, concluding that the country must radically transform its energy landscape and prioritise renewable energy, electrification, hydrogen adoption, and carbon removal strategies.
The acceleration of the energy transition means gas resource holders increasingly face a choice: follow the established pathway and develop new LNG export facilities or pivot into developing blue ammonia.
As companies in the energy and natural resource sector struggle to find the balance between satisfying shareholder returns and meeting stakeholder low-carbon demands, new strategies are emerging that could be the catalyst to drive capital allocation decisions toward growth and closing valuation gaps, according to “Fuelling Change” a new Horizons report from Wood Mackenzie.
Veritas Capital (“Veritas”), a leading investor at the intersection of technology and government, today announced that an affiliate of Veritas has completed the purchase of Wood Mackenzie from Verisk (Nasdaq: VRSK).
Wood Mackenzie report offers five key developments for the energy sector over the next 12 months
Waste-based biofuels could be a key driver of the energy transition transforming today’s limited supply of low carbon transportation fuels and creating a local, circular economy, according to a new report by Wood Mackenzie, a Verisk business (Nasdaq:VRSK).
BP confirmed today that it picked up over 40% stake in the Asian Renewable Energy Hub project to produce and export green hydrogen in Australia.
Potential low-carbon (green or blue) hydrogen demand from the global refining sector could reach 50 million tonnes per annum (Mtpa) by 2050, says Wood Mackenzie.
Five key lessons from today's energy crisis on how to manage the shift to lower-carbon sources while strengthening energy security
Global economic growth could slow to 2.5% year-on-year in 2022 and 0.7% in 2023 due to the Russia-Ukraine war, says Wood Mackenzie.
Over the last year, strong demand recovery and a lack of investment in supply has caused prices to rise across sectors. Energy security and geopolitical tensions have added unprecedented uncertainty to markets across the globe. On top of that, countries and corporations still bear the massive challenge of limiting global warming to 1.5 ˚C.
China’s renewables manufacturing has emerged from 2021 bigger and more competitive than ever before. Western markets are benefitting from trading with the IKEA of the energy transition, but balancing reliance on China’s technology providers with local interests is now a key political as well as environmental challenge, says Wood Mackenzie.
Economic growth, stability in energy prices, energy transition, dual-control targets and relations with the US, are the top five themes to watch out for in China’s energy outlook this year, says Wood Mackenzie.
The world has the means, motive and opportunity to cap global warming to the 1.5°C limit agreed in the Paris Climate Accord, new research released today by Wood Mackenzie, a Verisk company (Nasdaq: VRSK) shows. But there will be tangible economic implications of an accelerated energy transition. While global economic output is likely to take a hit until 2050, it could be recoverable by the end of the century, according to Wood Mackenzie.
China’s economy has faced headwinds from flooding, Covid outbreaks and power rationing in H2 2021. This resulted in a steeper-than-expected economic slowdown for the third quarter, says Wood Mackenzie
Following the conclusion of the COP26 on November 13, Wood Mackenzie experts weigh in on the key developments of the conference.
US President Joe Biden has a transformational goal: he wants the country to achieve net-zero emissions by 2050, building on the net-zero power sector he wants in place by 2035. Can the US meet this challenge? According to new research released today by global natural resources consultancy Wood Mackenzie, a Verisk business (Nasdaq: VRSK), the US is likely to struggle to achieve Biden’s ambitions. Technological limitations, policy design, market structures and even the United States’ political and constitutional foundations may hamper progress.
The development of net zero hubs around the UK has proved a key plank of the country’s strategy towards achieving net zero by 2050. Scotland, which has a 2045 net-zero target, could advance its ambitions by establishing a net zero hub on the Firth of Forth, research from global natural resources consultancy Wood Mackenzie, a Verisk company (Nasdaq: VRSK) has found.
Demand across most commodities in China is expected to slow down in the second half of 2021, according to Wood Mackenzie’s new monthly China Economic Focus report.
Last week, Japan’s Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry (METI) released a draft of its upcoming 6th Strategic Energy Plan which included major changes to the FY2030 power generation mix targets.
Europe is at the forefront of the shift to net zero, both in ambition, but also in terms of how to make rapid and deep decarbonisation a reality. The world needs to reduce carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions as quickly as possible. Not doing so means we will need to turn to expensive and unproven technologies to withdraw CO2 from the atmosphere later this century.
The EU Commission proposed a carbon border adjustment mechanism (CBAM) as part of today’s “Fit for 55” package. James Whiteside, global head of multi-commodity research at Wood Mackenzie, said: “As the first mechanism of its kind, the CBAM is being designed in consultation with industry to avoid unintended consequences. “A CBAM that does not cover a substantial portion of the production chain will encourage carbon leakage - pushing emissions beyond the borders of the EU or shifting competition between EU and non-EU producers to the next stage of the value chain.”
Achieving the 2°C goal of the Paris Agreement will require more than simply avoiding carbon. To cap global warming at 1.5°C or even 2°C, carbon removal will be essential. Research from global natural resources consultancy Wood Mackenzie, a Verisk business (Nasdaq:VRSK), shows the key to effective large-scale carbon removal is unlocking potential economies of scale through basin-wide carbon capture and storage (CCS), effectively providing a community answer to a global problem.
The UK government and the country’s oil and gas sector recently agreed a deal to leverage the upstream industry's capabilities, accelerate the energy transition and help the North Sea reach net zero by 2050.
If the world acts decisively to limit global warming to 2°C by 2050, the scale of change will revolutionise the energy industry. Progressive electrification will squeeze the most polluting hydrocarbons out of the energy mix, nearly eliminating their markets. Oil demand will shrink, and with it, so will the power of major oil producers. Gas demand will remain resilient, but business models will need to evolve.
Wood Mackenzie’s latest report reveals that China’s march towards carbon neutrality by 2060 can complement both energy security and economic goals.
Europe’s new 2030 emissions target of a 55% reduction over 1990 levels has made it the undisputed global leader in climate ambition. However, with the region still a long way from achieving this rapidly approaching goal, dramatic changes are needed.
Following the military coup in Myanmar on Monday, February 1st, Wood Mackenzie and Verisk Maplecroft experts weigh in on what this means for the oil and gas industry.
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