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US Lower 48 Independents’ finances are looking rosier as capital discipline and higher oil prices work their magic. Will a cash flow bonanza lead to more drilling?
The oil and gas sector is bouncing back strong. After savaging costs and spend in response to last year's crisis, and with Brent soaring over US$65/bbl, we expect a resurgence of upstream cash generation in 2021. How much free cash flow will the sector generate? What will companies do with it?
Offshore wind is at the forefront of the Euro Majors' new energy strategies. It's a proven technology, ready for scaling up – and the latest UK permits show the competition for projects is heating up. How big could it be for Big Oil?
The 2020 collapse in oil price hasn’t just killed tight oil’s growth, it smashed volumes down in the space of just a few months. The big question is whether it will ever return to a growth path.
We hosted the CEOs from Shell, Total, Eni and SSE as well as senior executives from numerous other leading oil and gas companies and utilities over three days at our EMEA Energy Summit. So what were the hot topics?
The UK's commitment to net-zero carbon by 2050 is a wake-up call for the oil and gas industry. Could the offshore industry pivot to zero-carbon technologies and become a core part of the UK's sustainable future?
Gas is to be the bridging fuel of the transition, its lower carbon intensity supporting its position in the energy mix longer than coal and oil. Yet nothing can be taken for granted as decarbonisation policy tilts the playing field away from fossil fuels.
It's no surprise that a downturn sparks oil and gas sector consolidation. What's interesting about Chevron's bid for Noble Energy is how Big Oil's strategy has changed. In the Edge this week, Simon Flowers takes a closer look.
Exploration spend is heading south again as companies slash budgets to conserve cash. This downcycle though is different, with companies formulating decarbonisation strategies and peak oil demand on the horizon. Is exploration now facing an existential crisis?
The discovery of huge gas resources has made the Eastern Mediterranean an industry hot spot. Majors, NOCs and independents see a growth opportunity that could last for decades. LNG exports might be the path to full commercialisation. But geopolitics stand in the way. How can the interested parties find a way forward?
How resilient are the Majors' upstream portfolios? Which Majors lead on resilience metrics? How do companies build resilience into portfolios? Find out in this week's Edge.
Will the effect of coronavirus be more lasting for demand or supply? Will the oil price be lower-for-longer? Or, if demand recovers, could the sharp reduction in upstream investment lead to a tighter market and higher prices? Find out more in this week's Edge.
Future energy demand patterns could look very different depending on policy choices and the societal response to the pandemic. Our three scenarios suggest oil demand in particular is at risk. How will the increased uncertainty influence corporate strategy? Will we see diversifying companies speed up investment in decarbonisation? What are the options for pure oil and gas players, big or small?
The steep decline in oil demand is putting the entire system under pressure. Will there be sufficient storage globally to cope? Will we see more production shut-in? What are the prospects for demand recovery? Find out more in this week's Edge.
The oil price collapse has plunged the oil sector into negative cash flow. Can the M&A market help companies bolster finances? Find out more in this week's Edge.
The coronavirus outbreak has derailed OPEC+, thrown the oil market into turmoil and sent an already unloved sector into freefall. What are the implications?
Guyana’s oil, only just being commercialised, promises to transform the nation’s wealth. How can the South American country make the most of it? Find out more in this week's Edge.
Have we passed 'peak growth' for tight oil? What are the implications of slowing growth for the crude market? And how will pipeline owners adapt their strategies? Find out in this week's Edge.
Can a decade be a turning point? So much happened in the energy sector, the 2010s might be seen as just that.
Energy markets are in the midst of profound change – we're getting used to that. But what big, identifiable key risks might lurk in the shadows in the next 12 months that could make us change our view for 2020 and beyond? Here are five.
Will oil demand growth recover in 2020? Is global supply still growing apace? How is US tight oil investment and production being affected by negative investor sentiment? Have the production cuts of 2019 balanced the market? Do they need to be extended or adjusted? Will fundamentals or geopolitics determine oil prices? We answer some of the big questions on OPEC’s agenda ahead of its December meeting in Vienna.
Big Oil’s risk appetite has changed. It needs to continue to replace reserves for the foreseeable future but is looking for lower risk options than exploration. Discovered resources can be part of the solution, though opportunities to develop a giant oil field such as Buzios in Brazil, in the heart of an industry hot spot, only come around once in a blue moon. So why the lack of bids from the Majors?
Bigger the Majors may be, but are the companies better placed to cope with future price uncertainty and the energy transition? Find out in this week's Edge.
How is US tight oil performing in this febrile environment? Simon Flowers asks R.T. Dukes and his team of Lower 48 researchers.
The attack on Saudi Arabia’s oil infrastructure took out over 5% of global oil supply and temporarily pushed up prices by 20%. What does the attack say about the security of oil’s supply chain?
LNG is on track for prodigious growth in the next two decades. Is the traditional business model that’s worked for six decades fit for purpose? How should a 21st-century LNG player tool up to maximise value?
Three steps to tackling climate change
Upstream investment is set to rise for the third year in a row following the 2016 low, albeit at a modest, single-digit rate. Learn more about the sources of growth.
Aramco’s financials are enough to turn any CEO green with envy. Why has Aramco opened its books now, and what will it do with its wealth? Get our analysis here.
Where does the real value of digitalisation lie for the global upstream industry? Simon Flowers and Greig Aitken look at three areas where technology could have the greatest impact.
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