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The world is still working out how to get into a 1.5 °C pathway and COP27 is an important stepping stone.
Crude oil’s centrality to the global economy has been reinforced in the energy crisis of 2022. Oil demand has recovered strongly from the Covid-induced dip and, despite an economic slowdown, could reach record highs next year. But COP27, underway in Egypt, is a reminder that oil consumption must fall if the world is to achieve net zero.
We hosted our EMEA Global Energy and Natural Resources Summit in London last week. Here are some of the big themes debated on the stage.
The energy crisis is raising doubts about the pace the world can move towards net zero. Governments' more urgent priorities are to keep the lights on and economies ticking even if that means more fossil fuels.
Europe’s energy market is out of control. Current stratospheric prices for gas and power pose risks to economies and households. Minimising collateral damage to economies – not to mention, saving lives – depends on the energy industry, governments and consumers themselves all doing the right things
The oil and gas sector is back with a bang in the stock market this year, reversing the flow of capital towards low-carbon energy plays. Investors have found the surging cash flow and dividends irresistible.
Would a merger of Big Oil with Big Mining make sense?
The big themes of resilience and sustainability will be increasingly important for oil and gas as the transition gains pace. Our new CoRSI analysis shows how the industry is preparing for tougher times.
Hydrogen is central to achieving net zero and getting the world onto a 1.5 °C pathway. How will the energy crisis affect the global hydrogen trade?
What's driven the rally, what is the outlook for supply and demand fundamentals in 2022, and how will geopolitics, including the Russia/Ukraine crisis, play out?
CCS has to be made to work – capturing and storing CO2 accounts for 20% of the emissions reduction needed to achieve global net zero by 2050.
EV sales shot the lights out in 2021: Tesla sold almost 1 million cars, while China and Europe accounted for 84% of global sales with subsidies a big factor.
A host of senior leaders joined our virtual Global Energy Summit last week to discuss the commodity supercycle, investment, business models and net zero
Where new oil supply to 2030 will come from and what it costs
Industrialising a nascent technology that’s critical for net zero targets
What is the oil and gas industry doing to cut carbon emissions? Tougher policy will help but much is in the upstream industry’s gift.
Last week's big announcements for ExxonMobil, Chevron and Shell show that stakeholders are intensifying the pressure on Big Oil to speed up action on climate. What are the implications for the wider industry?
As the energy transition gains pace, questions are being asked about exploration's continued relevance. Does the industry still need to find new barrels? How committed are the Majors to exploration?
A healthy crop of oil and gas projects are up for FID in 2021. If they go ahead, the spend could reverse the downward trend in upstream investment. But sanctioning new projects is getting harder.
The return of Iranian exports to the oil market in 2021 was a clear risk. If sanctions are lifted, how much oil could Iran produce and how quickly? What wiggle room would OPEC+ have to accommodate Iran's exports? What would be the effect on the oil price?
Solar's plunging costs have made it the go-to technology to decarbonise the power sector. What innovations are coming to make it even more competitive? Could too much solar be a problem for power markets? And does green hydrogen offer a second wave of growth?
The oil and gas sector is bouncing back strong. After savaging costs and spend in response to last year's crisis, and with Brent soaring over US$65/bbl, we expect a resurgence of upstream cash generation in 2021. How much free cash flow will the sector generate? What will companies do with it?
Batteries are going to play a big part in achieving net-zero ambitions. Once batteries are cheap enough and deliver sufficient range, they open the door for EVs to disrupt the ICE market. When will battery costs fall enough for EVs to compete head on? And is there enough supply of key battery metals to meet the higher demand?
Offshore wind is at the forefront of the Euro Majors' new energy strategies. It's a proven technology, ready for scaling up – and the latest UK permits show the competition for projects is heating up. How big could it be for Big Oil?
Led by Asia, and with vaccine roll-out underway, global economic growth should bounce back strong in 2021. It sets the scene for a much better year in commodity markets. But do surging oil, gas and metals prices point to something more lasting?
If ambitions on climate change are high, so, too, will be the cost. We reckon a bare minimum of US$30 trillion to US$40 trillion of investment is needed to put the world on a 2 °C or lower pathway. Where’s the money going to come from? I chatted to Prakash Sharma and Jonny Sultoon of our Energy Transition team and Peter Martin, Head of Economics.
Structural oversupply has already led to refinery closures, with more to follow. But some competitively weak refineries can be repurposed to produce low-carbon biodiesel, one of the few segments of oil demand with strong growth prospects.
We hosted the CEOs from Shell, Total, Eni and SSE as well as senior executives from numerous other leading oil and gas companies and utilities over three days at our EMEA Energy Summit. So what were the hot topics?
Alongside climate change, the rising tide of environmental waste, plastic included, is society’s other sustainability challenge. Simon Flowers asked Guy Bailey and his Petrochemicals Research team how we can get on top of the problem.
It's no surprise that a downturn sparks oil and gas sector consolidation. What's interesting about Chevron's bid for Noble Energy is how Big Oil's strategy has changed. In the Edge this week, Simon Flowers takes a closer look.
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