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Wood Mackenzie today delivered a comprehensive roadmap for the North Sea’s future to the OGTC, setting out the critical technologies needed to deliver an integrated net zero energy system on the UK Continental Shelf (UKCS), positioning the UK as a world-leader in the move to a low carbon world.
According to a new report by Wood Mackenzie, oil products demand in Asia Pacific is expected to fall by 1.8 million barrels per day (b/d) year-on-year in 2020.
The success of Europe’s transition to net-zero emissions by 2050 will hinge on the flexibility of its power system.
The global liquefied natural gas (LNG) industry is about to face its first seasonal demand contraction since 2012, with demand in summer 2020 expected to fall 2.7% or 3 million tonnes (Mt) year-on-year, says Wood Mackenzie.
The UK gas balance has reached a deadlock for the summer. Resilient UK production, Norwegian imports and baseload LNG imports are overwhelming the market with supply. And with lockdown placing huge pressure on electricity and fuel markets, demand will be weak throughout the summer.
European gas storage is almost full to the brim – and with the mild weather, coronavirus lockdowns hitting demand and an over-supplied market, levels are not likely to drop soon. New analysis from natural resources consultancy Wood Mackenzie suggests October may prove critical for the market – and highlights a potential solution to the storage crunch.
In its latest short-term gas and LNG outlook report, Wood Mackenzie weighs the risks coronavirus, sustained low oil prices and LNG oversupply pose to the sector this year.
The coronavirus pandemic is reducing oil demand. The OPEC+ production restraint agreement fell apart on 6 March and Saudi Arabia is rapidly increasing supply. The result: Brent crude has plunged to less than US$30/bbl. This will have a significant impact on currently producing fields and future supply. How low can the price go before different sources of production become uneconomic? Where are production shut-ins most likely? Can governments influence the result?
As global markets reel in the wake of the oil price crash, Wood Mackenzie’ corporate analysis team believes the price collapse could be the trigger for a new phase of deep industry restructuring - one that rivals the changes seen in the late-1990s.
The OPEC+ meeting broke up without a deal, what does it mean for the markets?
It will be a noteworthy year for the North Sea – companies will increase production for the first time since 2017 and the outlook for both exploration and investment is looking healthy. The region will remain a global hotspot for deals as the corporate landscape continues to evolve. Crucially, the North Sea will also see major steps towards decarbonisation.
The gas transit and supply contracts between Russia and Ukraine expire at 10 am on 1 January 2020 (Moscow time) – the future of Ukraine transit remains the largest uncertainty for global gas markets in 2020. Murray Douglas, director, European gas at global natural resources consultancy Wood Mackenzie, said: “Ukraine remains the major transit route for Russian gas into Europe – over 76 billion cubic metres (cm) will be transported via Ukraine this year."
Installers have already shared anecdotes about growing residential storage volumes in California, and Wood Mackenzie expects a large uptick early next year as marketing efforts for solar-plus-storage started earlier this year bear fruit.
If European member states deliver their individual National Energy and Climate Plans, renewables will account for around 53% of power supply in 2030. Europe is on track to hit this target, although the performance of individual countries will vary, according to analysis from Wood Mackenzie.
Since the turn of the decade, it’s been a frenetic period for M&A in the North Sea. Against a backdrop of oil price volatility and a dramatically changing corporate landscape, activity reached record levels. But have acquisitions created value so far? Wood Mackenzie recently analysed 55 of the largest North Sea deals announced between 2012 and 2018 from today’s vantage point to quantify underlying value creation.
Despite speculation that a No-Deal Brexit would have a severe impact on the UK refining industry, Wood Mackenzie’s analysis indicates that while the sector’s dynamics would shift and margins will narrow, it would not be crippled.
Wood Mackenzie believes that discovering new value requires going beyond isolated datasets. The solution lies in data consortiums – cooperative platforms where companies can safely share quality data.
French major Total today brought the high-pressure/high-temperature (HP/HT) Culzean field, in the UK central North Sea, on stream, ahead of schedule and under budget.
After a difficult few years, the exploration sector is back in the black – and keen to stay there. New analysis from Wood Mackenzie shows that explorers’ success in 2018 reflects a disciplined approach that’s set to continue this year.
Wood Mackenzie forecasts that global oil and gas development spend needs to increase by around 20% to meet future demand growth and ensure companies sustain production next decade.
Global natural resources consultancy Wood Mackenzie sees OPEC maintaining its role as a key oil supplier through to 2040, although output from non-OPEC producers will help ensure adequate supply in the years to 2030.
A new study by Wood Mackenzie, examines this shift in the oil market, and assesses the challenges and opportunities facing the market and US producers and midstream operators.
A new cap on production from the Netherlands' giant Groningen gas field may have an impact on the security of Europe's gas supply, hurt Dutch treasury receipts and prompt a reassessment of the field's remaining value.
BP announced it made two discoveries on the UK Continental Shelf in 2017 - Capercaillie, in the North Sea, and Achmelvich, in the West of Shetland. Wood Mackenzie believes the finds prove there's still life in the ultra-mature province.
The impact of the 2014 oil price collapse is still being felt across the upstream sector. Operators have cut investment, deferred projects and implemented tough cost discipline, slashing US$910 billion from global capital expenditure estimates for 2015-2020. While many operators believe the cuts will stick, a new survey released today by natural resources consultancy Wood Mackenzie indicates the pictured is more nuanced.
2018 looks set to be a brighter year for upstream oil and gas companies
OPEC and non-OPEC producers agree to extend production curbs through 2018
We took a closer look at the impact of the UK government’s proposal to ban the sale of new petrol and diesel cars by 2040.
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