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The 2.5 million barrels per day (b/d) Colonial Pipeline moves roughly 45% of the US East Coast's supply of gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel from the Gulf Coast. The duration of the outage following the cyberattack on 7 May 2021 is uncertain. In the short term, Wood Mackenzie expects fuel demand and prices to rise in PADD 1, prompting refined fuel inventories to decline and PADD 1 refiners to maximize production.
Hess is selling its 28% working interest in the Shenzi field in US Gulf of Mexico to operator BHP.
OPEC+ today (6 June 2020) agreed a one-month extension of the 9.7 million barrels per day (b/d) production cut. The extension will tighten the market further and could see Brent prices rise from the current $40/bbl toward $45-to-$50/bbl.
Since OPEC+’s failure to agree on production restraint on 5-6 March, the implications of the Covid-19 pandemic have become far clearer, sparking a crisis in the oil market as prices fell and supply ramped up. The problem for these producers is the scale of the fall in oil demand, especially during April and forecast for Q2 2020. No matter the size of the varying forecasts, they all point to a challenging market that puts pressure on storage space and prices.
The oil price crash has hit the upstream sector hard. Deep cuts are being made across the board, but it will have a dramatic impact on the industry’s project pipeline. Global natural resources consultancy Wood Mackenzie believes almost all pre-FID projects will be deferred. Of the 50+ projects we identified with potential to go ahead this year, only 10 have a chance of proceeding, but all are at risk.
Survival mode has returned to the oil and gas sector as the oil price rout deepens. Corporate financials are in better shape than during the 2014/2015 crash, but room for manoeuvre is limited. Can companies cope with prices this low?
Today’s region-wide Gulf of Mexico Lease Sale 254 saw 84 bids received from 22 participating companies, with high bids totalling US$93 million. That amounts to roughly half of the previous lease sale, held in August 2019.
The travel ban announced by US President Donald Trump today is likely to have an immediate impact on jet fuel demand and prices across Europe and the US.
After over a year of trade tensions, the US and China signed a “phase one” trade deal on 16 January. As part of the deal, China has agreed to increase the value of energy imports by US$52.4 billion above 2017 levels over the next two years. What could it mean for the oil market?
Talos Energy, in its pursuit of growth in the US Gulf of Mexico, has announced a series of purchases, worth $640 million assets in the region
Santos announced today its plans to acquire ConocoPhillips’s northern Australian portfolio. This is a logical and attractive transaction for a number of reasons.
Speaking after BP announced the sale of its Alaska business to Hilcorp in a US$5.6 billion deal, Wood Mackenzie analyst Rowena Gunn said: “The Majors are making progress with their divestment campaigns. This will mean long-held assets and territories will be let go. BP made such a deal today with its sale of all US Alaska assets to privately-owned Hilcorp."
In 2017 Technip and FMC Technologies completed one of the hallmark oilfield service company mergers of the cycle. The business plans to split in the first half of 2020 – but not back into Technip and FMC - rather into ‘upstream’ and ‘mid/downstream’.
The US state of New York today awarded two major offshore wind contracts to Norwegian energy company Equinor, and Sunrise Wind, a joint venture between Denmark’s Ørsted and US utility Eversource.
Chevron Phillips Chemical (CP Chem) and Qatar Petroleum today announced that they have signed an agreement to jointly pursue the development of a new petrochemical complex on the US Gulf Coast.
Philadelphia Energy Solutions (PES) will close its oil refinery in the city, following a large fire last week that damaged the complex.
A large fire at the Philadelphia Energy Solutions (PES) oil refinery in Philadelphia has halted gasoline production at the complex.
Canadian Natural Resources today announced a C$3.8 billion (US$2.8 billion) acquisition of Devon Energy's Canadian assets, marking the company's seventh major acquisition since 2014.
Equinor has exercised its preferential rights over Delek Group to acquire an additional 22.45% interest in the Caesar-Tonga oil field from Shell, for a total consideration of US$965 million in cash.
The U.S has increased tariffs on $200bn of Chinese goods to 25%, from 10%, impacting a number of metals. Commentary below comes from the Wood Mackenzie metals team:
Murphy Oil Exploration is poised to buy several deepwater Gulf of Mexico assets from LLOG Exploration for a total of US$1.625 billion, split into a US$1.375 billion cash payment and US$250 million in contingent payments.
Delek Group has bought Shell's stake in the Caesar-Tonga field, in the deepwater Gulf of Mexico
The US Gulf of Mexico region wide Lease Sale 252 was held today, 20 March 2019. The sale attracted 257 bids from 30 companies, with high bids totalling US$244.3 million. An increase of about $66 million (37%) from the last region-wide lease sale in August 2018.
The US is poised to impose fresh sanctions on Venezuela, ratcheting up the stakes in the country's political crisis by curbing the Maduro government's access to cash from crude exports.
Rig provider Transocean is set to merge with Ocean Rig in a $2.7 billion deal, a move Wood Mackenzie says is a winning one for the rig market.
Today China announced retaliatory tariffs on $60 billion worth of American imports, in response to the Trump administration's latest trade threats. The list included a 25% tariff on LNG.
BP has bought BHP Billiton's US Lower 48 assets in a $10.5 billion deal. Wood Mackenzie believes the deal will be transformative for BP.
BP agrees to increase its stake in the Clair field, offshore West of Shetland, and divest its interest in Greater Kuparuk, in Alaska, via an asset swap with ConocoPhillips
After a contentious campaign, Andrés Manuel López Obrador has won the presidency. Now, the energy industry is trying to determine the incoming administration’s strategic priorities and the implications for Mexico’s energy reforms and its upstream, downstream, gas and power markets.
The Trump administration has been championing US energy exports as its preferred instrument for narrowing its trade deficit in the wake of the US shale boom. A combination of rising export capacity in the US, LNG import demand growth in China, and political cheerleading has underpinned an uptick in LNG exports to China this year via third party, spot trades. Will Trump's trip to Beijing seal the deal for some major LNG deals?
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