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Despite concerns about underinvestment in upstream, peak oil and gas demand can be met in the 2030s without a substantial increase to current annual asset development investment levels of US$500 billion in 2023 terms, according to a new Horizons report from Wood Mackenzie.
Norway’s oil and gas operations in the North Sea will continue to churn out cash as the Scandinavian country maintains high production to help support Europe’s energy crisis according to a report by Wood Mackenzie.
Colder temperatures across Europe have increased month-on-month heating demand by 20% in December, but behavioural change in households and services means the amount of gas used in these sectors is 16% lower than previous average consumption patterns for similar temperatures says Wood Mackenzie, a Verisk business (Nasdaq:VRSK).
High natural gas prices will continue to drive down European demand to seven percent below the five-year average through March, leaving a best-case scenario of storage levels at 31% at winter’s end, in line with the five-year average, says Wood Mackenzie, a Verisk business (Nasdaq:VRSK).
Gazprom confirmed today that regular annual maintenance of Nord Stream is officially over and gas flows restarted at 63 million cubic metres per day (mcm/d) – 40% of the pipeline’s overall capacity. The European gas market has reacted, with prices down by 5%; but the stability of Russian gas flows is by no means a given, according to analysts at Wood Mackenzie.
Italian major Eni has, for the fourth time in seven years, been named the upstream industry’s most-admired explorer, an accolade awarded as part of Wood Mackenzie’s industry-leading annual Exploration Survey.
Wood Mackenzie’s research indicates that UK North Sea oil and gas producers are making more profits than ever before, in an era where the industry is in progressive decline.
High commodity prices and Russia's invasion of Ukraine have called into question the UK’s reliance on energy imports. In response, the UK government is set to unveil a new ‘energy security strategy’.
UK gas production is down 28% year-to-date, helping fuel the current European gas price rally, global natural resources consultancy Wood Mackenzie, a Verisk business (Nasdaq: VRSK) said.
The development of net zero hubs around the UK has proved a key plank of the country’s strategy towards achieving net zero by 2050. Scotland, which has a 2045 net-zero target, could advance its ambitions by establishing a net zero hub on the Firth of Forth, research from global natural resources consultancy Wood Mackenzie, a Verisk company (Nasdaq: VRSK) has found.
The EU Commission proposed a carbon border adjustment mechanism (CBAM) as part of today’s “Fit for 55” package. James Whiteside, global head of multi-commodity research at Wood Mackenzie, said: “As the first mechanism of its kind, the CBAM is being designed in consultation with industry to avoid unintended consequences. “A CBAM that does not cover a substantial portion of the production chain will encourage carbon leakage - pushing emissions beyond the borders of the EU or shifting competition between EU and non-EU producers to the next stage of the value chain.”
The UK government and the country’s oil and gas sector recently agreed a deal to leverage the upstream industry's capabilities, accelerate the energy transition and help the North Sea reach net zero by 2050.
The latest acquisitions by NEO Energy and Waldorf Production continue what has been blockbuster start to the year for UK M&A with buyers and sellers buoyed by the recent recovery in prices. Just over two months into 2021 and UK disclosed deal spend has reached US$2.7 billion, almost equalling last year’s total, making it one of the hottest markets globally.
Wood Mackenzie’s latest analysis reveals that sustainability and resilience will be at the heart of the oil and gas industry story in 2021.
The commissioning of the Trans Adriatic Pipeline's (TAP) initial 10 bcm per year capacity follows four and a half years of construction, EUR4.5 billion of capex and a variety of obstacles – especially in Italy, where the pipeline ends.
Privately-held UK Independent Chrysaor is buying London-listed Premier Oil by way of reverse takeover. Premier’s US$2.7 billion of debt and hedging liabilities will be repaid and cancelled via a US$1.232 billion cash payment, plus Chrysaor shares.
Wood Mackenzie today delivered a comprehensive roadmap for the North Sea’s future to the OGTC, setting out the critical technologies needed to deliver an integrated net zero energy system on the UK Continental Shelf (UKCS), positioning the UK as a world-leader in the move to a low carbon world.
A gas discovery of the scale of the Tuna-1 find in the Black Sea, if developed, would be transformational for Turkey, given its overwhelming reliance on imports and crippling energy import bill. Turkey is chiefly reliant on piped gas from Russia, Azerbaijan and Iran but the share of liquefied natural gas imports has also continued to grow.
Royal Dutch Shell said on 20 June it would write off assets worth up to $22 billion on the back of weakening oil and gas demand due to the coronavirus pandemic and a weaker energy price outlook.
Speaking after BP announced it was writing down as much as $17.5 billion when it reports its second quarter results, Luke Parker, vice president, corporate analysis, said: “The impairment shouldn’t come as a big surprise, but the implications – near-term and long-term – are significant.”
Anglo-Dutch supermajor Shell today slashed its dividend by 66%, the first time the company has cut cash distributions to shareholders since World War II. The annual pay-out will fall from US$14.9 billion to US$5.1 billion, freeing up US$10 billion of capital.
Commenting after Shell announced its intention to become net-zero company by 2050, Luke Parker, vice president, corporate analysis, at Wood Mackenzie, said: “This is an evolution of the net carbon footprint ambition that Shell unveiled in November 2017.
Since OPEC+’s failure to agree on production restraint on 5-6 March, the implications of the Covid-19 pandemic have become far clearer, sparking a crisis in the oil market as prices fell and supply ramped up. The problem for these producers is the scale of the fall in oil demand, especially during April and forecast for Q2 2020. No matter the size of the varying forecasts, they all point to a challenging market that puts pressure on storage space and prices.
The oil price crash has hit the upstream sector hard. Deep cuts are being made across the board, but it will have a dramatic impact on the industry’s project pipeline. Global natural resources consultancy Wood Mackenzie believes almost all pre-FID projects will be deferred. Of the 50+ projects we identified with potential to go ahead this year, only 10 have a chance of proceeding, but all are at risk.
In its latest short-term gas and LNG outlook report, Wood Mackenzie weighs the risks coronavirus, sustained low oil prices and LNG oversupply pose to the sector this year.
The coronavirus pandemic is reducing oil demand. The OPEC+ production restraint agreement fell apart on 6 March and Saudi Arabia is rapidly increasing supply. The result: Brent crude has plunged to less than US$30/bbl. This will have a significant impact on currently producing fields and future supply. How low can the price go before different sources of production become uneconomic? Where are production shut-ins most likely? Can governments influence the result?
The North Sea has weathered several storms in its 50-year existence. But the events of the past few weeks mean the sector is entering uncharted waters. The coronavirus pandemic and collapse in OPEC+ production restraint has seen Brent reach its lowest point since 2003.
Survival mode has returned to the oil and gas sector as the oil price rout deepens. Corporate financials are in better shape than during the 2014/2015 crash, but room for manoeuvre is limited. Can companies cope with prices this low?
As global markets reel in the wake of the oil price crash, Wood Mackenzie’ corporate analysis team believes the price collapse could be the trigger for a new phase of deep industry restructuring - one that rivals the changes seen in the late-1990s.
The OPEC+ meeting broke up without a deal, what does it mean for the markets?
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