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A five-year delay to the energy transition could see the global average temperature rise to 3°C above pre-industrial levels.
If high interest rates persist, transitioning to a net zero global economy will be even harder and more costly. The higher cost of borrowing negatively affects renewables and nascent technologies, compared to more established oil and gas, and metals and mining sectors, which remain somewhat insulated.
Home to half of the world’s population and contributing a third to the global GDP, the Asia Pacific region is expected to maintain a 50% share of global primary energy demand and a 60% share of global carbon emissions until 2050. This trend is unlikely to change without strong policy action and investment. However, the region still has the potential to turn these challenges into opportunities and become a global leader in the energy transition.
Chinese companies have made significant strides in the Belt & Road initiative's overseas power projects over the past decade. With an estimated investment value of around US$200 billion, over 300 projects have installed 128 GW of power, equivalent to 1.3 times Australia's installed capacity in 2022. However, challenges have emerged, leading to the cancellation or shelving of over 20% of projects to date.
The Asia Pacific region is forecast to invest US$3.3 trillion in power generation over the next 10 years, with 49% earmarked for wind and solar, and 12% for energy storage, according to latest Wood Mackenzie analysis.
The Chinese economy is expected to grow by 5.5% but could grow by as much as 7% in 2023 as the country bounces back from three years of lock-down caused by the Covid pandemic according to a new report by Wood Mackenzie.
Steel industry’s carbon emissions is expected to fall 30% by 2050 compared to 2021 levels, according to a new report by Wood Mackenzie.
China’s renewables manufacturing has emerged from 2021 bigger and more competitive than ever before. Western markets are benefitting from trading with the IKEA of the energy transition, but balancing reliance on China’s technology providers with local interests is now a key political as well as environmental challenge, says Wood Mackenzie.
Economic growth, stability in energy prices, energy transition, dual-control targets and relations with the US, are the top five themes to watch out for in China’s energy outlook this year, says Wood Mackenzie.
Wood Mackenzie believes that Chinese authorities could allow customs clearance of stranded Australian thermal coal. In addition, the local governments in Yulin region of Shaanxi province and Inner Mongolia have announced yesterday that they will be increasing coal supply to meet demand.
President Xi Jinping announced that China will end coal investments overseas.
Last week, Japan’s Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry (METI) released a draft of its upcoming 6th Strategic Energy Plan which included major changes to the FY2030 power generation mix targets.
Asia Pacific renewables (wind and solar) generation investments could double to US$1.3 trillion over the current decade to 2030 compared to the previous decade (2011 – 2020), says Wood Mackenzie, a Verisk business (Nasdaq:VRSK).
China’s state planner the National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) announced today an “indefinite suspension of all activities under China-Australia Strategic Economic Dialogue”. Wood Mackenzie experts weigh in on the event.
China’s march towards carbon neutrality is forcing its aluminium smelters away from using captive coal-fired power, says Wood Mackenzie.
Spot prices of trucked LNG in China were highly volatile last month.
Rumours of a ban on Australian thermal coal to China have surfaced in the thermal coal market this week.
The topic of environmental protection continues to feature heavily in the Two Sessions today. Wood Mackenzie experts share some initial thoughts.
Bangladesh is expected to double its fossil fuel imports to 32 million tonnes of oil equivalent (Mtoe) between 2020 and 2030, says Wood Mackenzie.
South Korea's hot metal production will decline by 4.2 Mt or almost 10% in 2020. There is of course a risk that production decline would be greater, if containment of the virus is unsuccessful.
India is under a three-week lockdown from 25 March to contain the spread of the coronavirus outbreak. Wood Mackenzie analysts discuss what this means for the power, coal, gas and LNG, and oil products sectors.
India's 2020 energy outlook
The EIB's new financing criteria will make lending to gas projects very difficult. It highlights that gas is also increasingly in the spotlight of the climate debate.
Japan is planning to invest an additional $10 billion to develop infrastructure mainly in new and developing markets in the India sub continent and Southeast Asia, reflecting a shift in priorities.
According to a new report by Wood Mackenzie, coal will continue to be the dominant fuel source in power generation, peaking at 2027 before slowing down and accounting for 36% of the region’s generation mix in 2040.
According to a new report by Wood Mackenzie, Japan could lose its pole position as the world’s top LNG importer to China as early as 2022.
Adani gets environmental approval for Carmichael project
Following PM Scott Morrison's win in the recent 2019 Australia election, Wood Mackenzie and Verisk Maplecroft analysts share their thoughts.
Implementation of IMO 2020 regulation is just eight months away and its implications will be felt beyond refining and shipping. Wood Mackenzie's Asia Pacific experts weigh in on what this means for the different sectors.
Australia's general election is around the corner and Labor looks set for victory. Labor has announced its commitment to reduce Australia’s carbon emissions by 45% between 2005 and 2030, and to reach net-zero pollution by 2050. It has also proposed changes to existing mechanisms to lower energy and gas prices.
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