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A new study by Wood Mackenzie, examines this shift in the oil market, and assesses the challenges and opportunities facing the market and US producers and midstream operators.
Analysis of global oil cost curves indicates that many conventional pre-FID projects – even deepwater developments - are now competitive on a breakeven basis with US Lower 48 tight oil. However, this competitiveness has come at the expense of volumes. The trade-off of cost efficiency versus volumes means that in the medium- to long-term, the cost of supply is set to increase, highlighting the US Lower 48’s role as an important marginal barrel producer.
On Wednesday, 21 March 2018, the US held its region-wide GoM Lease Sale 250, attracting 159 bids from 33 participating companies, with high bids totalling US$124.8 million. The total of high bids represents a modest increase of about US$3 million over last year's August region wide Lease Sale 249 but is still a lacklustre result.
As previously forecasted by Wood Mackenzie, 2017 saw a significant recovery in upstream FIDs, with the number of project sanctions more than doubled compared to 2016. Wood Mackenzie expects a similar total this year - circa 30 major project FIDs - supported by continued prudence in industry spending.
Shale gas in China has seen significant progress over the last decade, growing to nearly 600 wells and 9 bcm of production last year. In its latest analysis, Wood Mackenzie projects Chinese shale gas production to almost double to 17 bcm in 2020.
Look no further than Mexico for an example of what a successful energy reform looks like. Over the past five years, the country has dramatically overhauled its energy landscape. A new report analyses the impacts of the energy reform on the country's upstream sector.
In a recent study, Wood Mackenzie forecasts Australia's East Coast gas prices to rise up to 30 percent to between A$10 and A$13 /per gigajoule by the mid 2020s.
Standout oil well performance in New Mexico, Saudi Aramco confirms its new dividend plan, the EU backs CCUS projects, the latest on superconductivity hopes, and more
What made Germany’s 7 GW offshore wind tender so attractive – and what does it mean for other governments?
Market activity is picking up for Petrobras – developments are moving forward quickly, while exploration remains slow.
'Business as usual’ is incompatible with net zero ambitions
ADNOC has aggressive decarbonisation targets under a strategy that includes, somewhat counterintuitively, oil and gas growth and a renewed emphasis on licensing and exploration.
According to a Reuters report, North Sea producer Harbour Energy is in talks with GoM-focused Talos Energy over a potential merger. Conslidation continues to drive upstream M&A as companies look to increase resilience and diversify portfolios.
Deepwater hot spots drive up demand for drilling
Investors are looking afresh at Africa’s advantaged barrels – but old problems persist.
Analysing the potential of Rosebank and Cambo fields as part of the UK’s development of oil and gas resources in the North Sea.
How can deepwater rig companies turn current weaknesses and threats into strengths and opportunities?
What’s driving the impressive growth of the gas sector in the Middle East?
The Majors have focused investment in nine areas of energy transition technology
The oil and gas industry has proved its resilience in recent years – but wherever you look there are more costs and more risk. Can it rise to the sustainability challenge?
Europe needs gas, and Africa has plenty of it – but planned exports are fraught with risk
OPEC+ output cuts hasten market tightening
Business leaders see confidence in Australia’s investment climate at risk.
Capital discipline and carbon mitigation will be key elements of final investment decisions for upstream oil and gas projects this year
From energy security to Upstream 2.0, our Global Upstream Update explores some of the biggest issues facing the industry.
In 2022, record high prices forced many European and Asian companies to switch from gas to alternative cheaper fuels, or reduce output. The market will seek a new balance this year
The Majors have shown there can be different approaches to decarbonisation and achieving net zero, but divergent strategies are showing signs of converging again.
President Biden's state of the union speech focused on the future need for oil and the future of investment
Norway is monetising as much oil and gas as it can, while it still can. Other countries with challenged pre-FID resources may look to do something similar.
Rise in emissions in 2022 likely to be short-lived, but the long-term trend is for only gradual decline.
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