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This attack has material implications for the oil market, as a loss of 5 million barrels per day of supplies from Saudi Arabia cannot be met for long by existing inventories and the limited spare capacity of the other OPEC+ group members. A geopolitical risk premium will return to the oil price.
Since OPEC+’s failure to agree on production restraint on 5-6 March, the implications of the Covid-19 pandemic have become far clearer, sparking a crisis in the oil market as prices fell and supply ramped up. The problem for these producers is the scale of the fall in oil demand, especially during April and forecast for Q2 2020. No matter the size of the varying forecasts, they all point to a challenging market that puts pressure on storage space and prices.
India is under a three-week lockdown from 25 March to contain the spread of the coronavirus outbreak. Wood Mackenzie analysts discuss what this means for the power, coal, gas and LNG, and oil products sectors.
Survival mode has returned to the oil and gas sector as the oil price rout deepens. Corporate financials are in better shape than during the 2014/2015 crash, but room for manoeuvre is limited. Can companies cope with prices this low?
Wood Mackenzie's Gavin Thompson provides a commentary on the US-China Phase One trade deal
Total announced today its partnership with Adani Group which includes two LNG terminals, Dhamra in East India and potentially Mundra in the West, as well as Adani Gas Limited, one of the 4 main distributors of city gas in India of which Adani holds 74.8% and of which Total will acquire 37.4%.
Implementation of IMO 2020 regulation is just eight months away and its implications will be felt beyond refining and shipping. Wood Mackenzie's Asia Pacific experts weigh in on what this means for the different sectors.
India's first east coast regas project, Ennore LNG terminal, was commissioned yesterday by Indian Oil Corporation (IOCL). Wood Mackenzie's senior analyst Kaushik Chatterjee shares the significance of this project and how this marks the beginning of India doubling its regas capacity to 56.5 million metric tonnes per annum (mmtpa) by 2025.
Following China's imposition of retaliatory tariffs on US goods over the weekend, our experts weigh in on the potential impact the move will have on different commodities.
The introduction of India's Goods and Services Tax (GST) has lifted oil demand in the country this year. Crude oil, natural gas, diesel and gasoline are currently exempt from the GST. However, diesel and gasoline demand are indirectly affected by the impact of GST on vehicle prices and sales, especially in the logistics sector.
The energy transition will require oil and gas for decades to come, but the supply of lower-cost, lower-carbon “advantaged” barrels remain scarce, threatening emissions targets and causing upstream providers to pivot to new strategies, according to “Scraping the Barrel” a new Horizons analysis from Wood Mackenzie.
Wood Mackenzie’s latest analysis shows over US$5 trillion of investments would be needed for China to reach its pathway for carbon-neutrality by 2060.
Wood Mackenzie’s latest analysis reveals that China’s crude stock (including strategic and commercial petroleum reserves) could reach 1.15 billion barrels in 2020, equivalent to 83 days of oil demand.
The EIB's new financing criteria will make lending to gas projects very difficult. It highlights that gas is also increasingly in the spotlight of the climate debate.
Wood Mackenzie forecasts that global oil and gas development spend needs to increase by around 20% to meet future demand growth and ensure companies sustain production next decade.
In the 12 months up until June 2018, China was the second largest buyer of US LNG, accounting for approximately 3 mmtpa of US LNG, with Shell being the largest seller. However as the US-China trade dispute escalated, Chinese buyers have gradually reduced purchases of US LNG.
OPEC and non-OPEC producers agree to extend production curbs through 2018
China’s renewables manufacturing has emerged from 2021 bigger and more competitive than ever before. Western markets are benefitting from trading with the IKEA of the energy transition, but balancing reliance on China’s technology providers with local interests is now a key political as well as environmental challenge, says Wood Mackenzie.
If high interest rates persist, transitioning to a net zero global economy will be even harder and more costly. The higher cost of borrowing negatively affects renewables and nascent technologies, compared to more established oil and gas, and metals and mining sectors, which remain somewhat insulated.
About 650,000 barrels per day (b/d) of Russian crude oil are to be relocated from advanced economies, and the solution could be ‘crude swapping’, says Wood Mackenzie.
Wood Mackenzie, releases its Global gas and LNG – 6 things to watch for in 2022 report.
Last week, Japan’s Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry (METI) released a draft of its upcoming 6th Strategic Energy Plan which included major changes to the FY2030 power generation mix targets.
Wood Mackenzie’s 2020 Energy and Commodities Summit Asia Pacific edition kickstarted yesterday. Experts shared their views on how the energy sector is changing in light of the oil price crash, Covid-19 and the latest carbon-neutrality trends.
On 22 September, China announced its ambition to be carbon-neutral by 2060. Wood Mackenzie experts weigh in on what this means.
The near-term impact of the coronavirus outbreak on oil demand remains uncertain as much depends upon when and how China’s manufacturing industry restarts after the currently extended Lunar New Year public holiday.
According to research by Wood Mackenzie, the APAC upstream sector holds considerable value as the majors divest mature and mid-life assets in the region.
The oil price crash has hit the upstream sector hard. Deep cuts are being made across the board, but it will have a dramatic impact on the industry’s project pipeline. Global natural resources consultancy Wood Mackenzie believes almost all pre-FID projects will be deferred. Of the 50+ projects we identified with potential to go ahead this year, only 10 have a chance of proceeding, but all are at risk.
After over a year of trade tensions, the US and China signed a “phase one” trade deal on 16 January. As part of the deal, China has agreed to increase the value of energy imports by US$52.4 billion above 2017 levels over the next two years. What could it mean for the oil market?
According to a new report by Wood Mackenzie, Japan could lose its pole position as the world’s top LNG importer to China as early as 2022.
Higher base chemicals demand and feedstock security for heavy naphtha are driving the development of a new wave of mega-integrated refinery and chemical sites in China. Private Chinese chemical producers, including Hengli and Rong Sheng, are back-integrating their chemical plants with refineries by building mega-integrated facilities. Wood Mackenzie expects these projects to come on stream in the next 12 to 24 months.
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