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If high interest rates persist, transitioning to a net zero global economy will be even harder and more costly. The higher cost of borrowing negatively affects renewables and nascent technologies, compared to more established oil and gas, and metals and mining sectors, which remain somewhat insulated.
Home to half of the world’s population and contributing a third to the global GDP, the Asia Pacific region is expected to maintain a 50% share of global primary energy demand and a 60% share of global carbon emissions until 2050. This trend is unlikely to change without strong policy action and investment. However, the region still has the potential to turn these challenges into opportunities and become a global leader in the energy transition.
The Asia Pacific region is forecast to invest US$3.3 trillion in power generation over the next 10 years, with 49% earmarked for wind and solar, and 12% for energy storage, according to latest Wood Mackenzie analysis.
The adoption of the single "industry average" as presented in the revised Safeguard Mechanism Scheme, will see some clear winners and losers in the Australian mining sector.
The Chinese economy is expected to grow by 5.5% but could grow by as much as 7% in 2023 as the country bounces back from three years of lock-down caused by the Covid pandemic according to a new report by Wood Mackenzie.
Veritas Capital (“Veritas”), a leading investor at the intersection of technology and government, today announced that an affiliate of Veritas has completed the purchase of Wood Mackenzie from Verisk (Nasdaq: VRSK).
European seaborne thermal coal demand is projected to increase 14% or 12 million metric tonnes (Mt) this year to 98 Mt as it grapples with the current energy crisis.
With prices soaring 400%, government is challenged to find the delicate balance of energy security and net zero goals
War in Ukraine is transforming the outlook for the supply, demand and price of hydrocarbons and the pace and cost of the energy transition. While the precise timing and implementation of future bans on Russian commodity imports are difficult to predict, a rewriting of energy trade flows is now underway.
The combination of factors including the Russia-Ukraine conflict, stimulated economies, thriving post-pandemic demand, and ongoing Covid constraints on logistics have put supply chains under immense stress, triggering multiple price records for metals and mined commodities.
The Russia-Ukraine crisis has shocked the coal and the broader energy markets, with spikes in Newcastle prices observed in recent days, says Wood Mackenzie.
China’s renewables manufacturing has emerged from 2021 bigger and more competitive than ever before. Western markets are benefitting from trading with the IKEA of the energy transition, but balancing reliance on China’s technology providers with local interests is now a key political as well as environmental challenge, says Wood Mackenzie.
Trade dislocations due to sanctions, high power prices and disruption to production facilities in the conflict zone are three major threats to the metals and mining industry as result of escalating conflict between Russia and Ukraine, says Wood Mackenzie.
Economic growth, stability in energy prices, energy transition, dual-control targets and relations with the US, are the top five themes to watch out for in China’s energy outlook this year, says Wood Mackenzie.
If 2021 was the year of rebound for metals and mining (M&M) commodities, then 2022 is shaping as the year of rebalance, says Wood Mackenzie.
Following the conclusion of the COP26 on November 13, Wood Mackenzie experts weigh in on the key developments of the conference.
Wood Mackenzie believes that Chinese authorities could allow customs clearance of stranded Australian thermal coal. In addition, the local governments in Yulin region of Shaanxi province and Inner Mongolia have announced yesterday that they will be increasing coal supply to meet demand.
President Xi Jinping announced that China will end coal investments overseas.
Last week, Japan’s Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry (METI) released a draft of its upcoming 6th Strategic Energy Plan which included major changes to the FY2030 power generation mix targets.
The EU Commission proposed a carbon border adjustment mechanism (CBAM) as part of today’s “Fit for 55” package. James Whiteside, global head of multi-commodity research at Wood Mackenzie, said: “As the first mechanism of its kind, the CBAM is being designed in consultation with industry to avoid unintended consequences. “A CBAM that does not cover a substantial portion of the production chain will encourage carbon leakage - pushing emissions beyond the borders of the EU or shifting competition between EU and non-EU producers to the next stage of the value chain.”
Asia Pacific renewables (wind and solar) generation investments could double to US$1.3 trillion over the current decade to 2030 compared to the previous decade (2011 – 2020), says Wood Mackenzie, a Verisk business (Nasdaq:VRSK).
China’s state planner the National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) announced today an “indefinite suspension of all activities under China-Australia Strategic Economic Dialogue”. Wood Mackenzie experts weigh in on the event.
On 19 April, Australian PM Scott Morrison's commented on the country's road to net-zero emissions.
China’s march towards carbon neutrality is forcing its aluminium smelters away from using captive coal-fired power, says Wood Mackenzie.
Rumours of a ban on Australian thermal coal to China have surfaced in the thermal coal market this week.
The topic of environmental protection continues to feature heavily in the Two Sessions today. Wood Mackenzie experts share some initial thoughts.
Bangladesh is expected to double its fossil fuel imports to 32 million tonnes of oil equivalent (Mtoe) between 2020 and 2030, says Wood Mackenzie.
South Korea's hot metal production will decline by 4.2 Mt or almost 10% in 2020. There is of course a risk that production decline would be greater, if containment of the virus is unsuccessful.
India is under a three-week lockdown from 25 March to contain the spread of the coronavirus outbreak. Wood Mackenzie analysts discuss what this means for the power, coal, gas and LNG, and oil products sectors.
India's 2020 energy outlook
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