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After over a year of trade tensions, the US and China signed a “phase one” trade deal on 16 January. As part of the deal, China has agreed to increase the value of energy imports by US$52.4 billion above 2017 levels over the next two years. What could it mean for the oil market?
Wood Mackenzie's Gavin Thompson provides a commentary on the US-China Phase One trade deal
Wood Mackenzie has identified six themes that will impact Asia Pacific’s gas and LNG markets in 2020.
Wood Mackenzie has identified five themes related to project sanctions, exploration, M&A, energy transition and IMO 2020 that will impact Asia Pacific’s upstream industry in 2020.
Wood Mackenzie’s latest report reveals that LNG sellers with contracts linked to JCC (Japan Crude Cocktail) could lose some US$15 billion in unearned revenues. This is a result of the IMO 2020 regulation limiting sulphur content of marine fuels to up to 0.5%, which directly affects the price of sour crudes such as those composing the JCC mix. The IMO 2020 kicks in on 1st January 2020.
The EIB's new financing criteria will make lending to gas projects very difficult. It highlights that gas is also increasingly in the spotlight of the climate debate.
The energy transition is undoubtedly impacting corporate upstream strategies in significant and disruptive ways. Coupled with the post-2014 downturn in oil prices, Wood Mackenzie sees seismic changes in the way the industry allocates capital across development, exploration and in particular M&A.
Total announced today its partnership with Adani Group which includes two LNG terminals, Dhamra in East India and potentially Mundra in the West, as well as Adani Gas Limited, one of the 4 main distributors of city gas in India of which Adani holds 74.8% and of which Total will acquire 37.4%.
New research from Wood Mackenzie indicates that the creation of a national pipeline company in China is a step in the right direction but will result in higher end-user prices in the short-term as the country tries to balance institutional reform with implementation risks.
Wood Mackenzie has identified the five most likely disposal candidates after ExxonMobil signalled the start of its Asia Pacific divestment programme. Together, these opportunities are worth US$5 billion, and could contribute a third of the Supermajor's global divestment target.
Japan is planning to invest an additional $10 billion to develop infrastructure mainly in new and developing markets in the India sub continent and Southeast Asia, reflecting a shift in priorities.
According to a new report by Wood Mackenzie, coal will continue to be the dominant fuel source in power generation, peaking at 2027 before slowing down and accounting for 36% of the region’s generation mix in 2040.
This attack has material implications for the oil market, as a loss of 5 million barrels per day of supplies from Saudi Arabia cannot be met for long by existing inventories and the limited spare capacity of the other OPEC+ group members. A geopolitical risk premium will return to the oil price.
Though set to become the world’s third largest gas producer by 2027, China’s imports will still grow in the long term. One key contributing factor is lower forecast in domestic gas production particularly in shale gas and coal bed methane (CBM), according to recent research by Wood Mackenzie.
Wood Mackenzie believes that discovering new value requires going beyond isolated datasets. The solution lies in data consortiums – cooperative platforms where companies can safely share quality data.
According to a new report by Wood Mackenzie, Japan could lose its pole position as the world’s top LNG importer to China as early as 2022.
The Government of Indonesia has approved the revised Plan of Development for the Abadi LNG project. INPEX (operator, 65%) and Shell (35%) will develop Abadi via an offshore production facility and a 9.5 million tonnes per annum (mmpta) onshore LNG plant, at an estimated cost of US$20 billion.
Arctic LNG-2 is a step closer to final investment decision (FID) with the entry of Japanese companies Mitsui and government-linked Japan Oil, Gas and Metals National Corporation (JOGMEC) into the project.
According to research by natural resources consultancy Wood Mackenzie, Malaysia offers some of the most material and attractive upstream investment opportunities in Southeast Asia, primarily due to the need for additional gas supply.
The HoA formalises the recent outline agreement between the Government of Indonesia and INPEX on the Masela development project.
Rising natural gas production in Argentina, coupled with competitive global LNG transportation costs, is expected to position the country as an emerging source of gas supply to Asia during peak demand periods, according to new research from Wood Mackenzie.
Wood Mackenzie senior analyst Daniel Toleman shares his thoughts on the event of Prelude's first LNG cargo.
According to research by Wood Mackenzie, a second wave of LNG investments is building, both in Australia and globally, and these projects need to compete to progress
Following PM Scott Morrison's win in the recent 2019 Australia election, Wood Mackenzie and Verisk Maplecroft analysts share their thoughts.
Implementation of IMO 2020 regulation is just eight months away and its implications will be felt beyond refining and shipping. Wood Mackenzie's Asia Pacific experts weigh in on what this means for the different sectors.
Australia's general election is around the corner and Labor looks set for victory. Labor has announced its commitment to reduce Australia’s carbon emissions by 45% between 2005 and 2030, and to reach net-zero pollution by 2050. It has also proposed changes to existing mechanisms to lower energy and gas prices.
According to a new report by Wood Mackenzie, Southeast Asia could take centre stage in the region's upstream M&A activity in 2019, with up to US$14 billion worth of assets potentially switching hands.
Indonesia heads to the polls on 17 April 2019. Wood Mackenzie and sister company Verisk Maplecroft discuss what this means for the energy, and mining and metals sectors.
In the same week that Shell agreed to explore for shale oil in China, BP is reported to be exiting its two Sichuan basin shale gas blocks.
India's first east coast regas project, Ennore LNG terminal, was commissioned yesterday by Indian Oil Corporation (IOCL). Wood Mackenzie's senior analyst Kaushik Chatterjee shares the significance of this project and how this marks the beginning of India doubling its regas capacity to 56.5 million metric tonnes per annum (mmtpa) by 2025.
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