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OPEC and non-OPEC producers agree to extend production curbs through 2018
If high interest rates persist, transitioning to a net zero global economy will be even harder and more costly. The higher cost of borrowing negatively affects renewables and nascent technologies, compared to more established oil and gas, and metals and mining sectors, which remain somewhat insulated.
Risk of a cold winter, uncertainty around pipeline imports and low gas inventories have set the scene across Europe for another volatile year ahead, with the potential for gas prices to soar further and energy shortages to bite.
Wood Mackenzie, releases its Global gas and LNG – 6 things to watch for in 2022 report.
Since the turn of the decade, it’s been a frenetic period for M&A in the North Sea. Against a backdrop of oil price volatility and a dramatically changing corporate landscape, activity reached record levels. But have acquisitions created value so far? Wood Mackenzie recently analysed 55 of the largest North Sea deals announced between 2012 and 2018 from today’s vantage point to quantify underlying value creation.
CNOOC Ltd and Total's Glengorm gas discovery, in teh Central North Sea, is the largest gas find in UK waters since Culzean in 2008
In the Autumn Statement, the UK's Chancellor of the Exchequer Philip Hammond did not make any headline changes to oil and gas tax rates, setting out instead plans to make a "call for evidence" on how to establish Scotland as a global hub for decommissioning.
Norway's Equinor set to buy Chevron's 40% operating stake in the Rosebank field, offshore West of Shetland
Rig provider Transocean is set to merge with Ocean Rig in a $2.7 billion deal, a move Wood Mackenzie says is a winning one for the rig market.
Global natural resources consultancy Wood Mackenzie sees OPEC maintaining its role as a key oil supplier through to 2040, although output from non-OPEC producers will help ensure adequate supply in the years to 2030.
Norway’s oil and gas operations in the North Sea will continue to churn out cash as the Scandinavian country maintains high production to help support Europe’s energy crisis according to a report by Wood Mackenzie.
The acceleration of the energy transition means gas resource holders increasingly face a choice: follow the established pathway and develop new LNG export facilities or pivot into developing blue ammonia.
Wood Mackenzie’s latest analysis reveals that sustainability and resilience will be at the heart of the oil and gas industry story in 2021.
A gas discovery of the scale of the Tuna-1 find in the Black Sea, if developed, would be transformational for Turkey, given its overwhelming reliance on imports and crippling energy import bill. Turkey is chiefly reliant on piped gas from Russia, Azerbaijan and Iran but the share of liquefied natural gas imports has also continued to grow.
Royal Dutch Shell said on 20 June it would write off assets worth up to $22 billion on the back of weakening oil and gas demand due to the coronavirus pandemic and a weaker energy price outlook.
The oil price crash has hit the upstream sector hard. Deep cuts are being made across the board, but it will have a dramatic impact on the industry’s project pipeline. Global natural resources consultancy Wood Mackenzie believes almost all pre-FID projects will be deferred. Of the 50+ projects we identified with potential to go ahead this year, only 10 have a chance of proceeding, but all are at risk.
Privately-held UK Independent Chrysaor is buying London-listed Premier Oil by way of reverse takeover. Premier’s US$2.7 billion of debt and hedging liabilities will be repaid and cancelled via a US$1.232 billion cash payment, plus Chrysaor shares.
Commenting after Shell announced its intention to become net-zero company by 2050, Luke Parker, vice president, corporate analysis, at Wood Mackenzie, said: “This is an evolution of the net carbon footprint ambition that Shell unveiled in November 2017.
The coronavirus pandemic is reducing oil demand. The OPEC+ production restraint agreement fell apart on 6 March and Saudi Arabia is rapidly increasing supply. The result: Brent crude has plunged to less than US$30/bbl. This will have a significant impact on currently producing fields and future supply. How low can the price go before different sources of production become uneconomic? Where are production shut-ins most likely? Can governments influence the result?
In 2017 Technip and FMC Technologies completed one of the hallmark oilfield service company mergers of the cycle. The business plans to split in the first half of 2020 – but not back into Technip and FMC - rather into ‘upstream’ and ‘mid/downstream’.
Commenting on reports that ExxonMobil is preparing to sell its UK North Sea portfolio, Neivan Boroujerdi, principal analyst, North Sea upstream, at Wood Mackenzie, said: “A proposed UK exit was expected. We value the portfolio at around US$2 billion.
French Major Total has sold its stakes in 10 UK North Sea fields to Petrogas NEO, a new joint venture between Petrogas and HitecVision, for US$635 million. The asset package includes operated and non-operated assets, which will produce 25,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day (boe/d) this year. The assets hold over 30 million barrels of oil equivalent in remaining reserves.
Total has made a major gas discovery in the UK's West of Shetland region, hitting an estimated 1 trillion cubic feet of gas
BP agrees to increase its stake in the Clair field, offshore West of Shetland, and divest its interest in Greater Kuparuk, in Alaska, via an asset swap with ConocoPhillips
High natural gas prices will continue to drive down European demand to seven percent below the five-year average through March, leaving a best-case scenario of storage levels at 31% at winter’s end, in line with the five-year average, says Wood Mackenzie, a Verisk business (Nasdaq:VRSK).
Global economic growth could slow to 2.5% year-on-year in 2022 and 0.7% in 2023 due to the Russia-Ukraine war, says Wood Mackenzie.
A high carbon tax could erode up to 60% of Asia’s total refining earnings by 2027, says Wood Mackenzie, at the Global Energy Summit Focus Week.
The EU Commission proposed a carbon border adjustment mechanism (CBAM) as part of today’s “Fit for 55” package. James Whiteside, global head of multi-commodity research at Wood Mackenzie, said: “As the first mechanism of its kind, the CBAM is being designed in consultation with industry to avoid unintended consequences. “A CBAM that does not cover a substantial portion of the production chain will encourage carbon leakage - pushing emissions beyond the borders of the EU or shifting competition between EU and non-EU producers to the next stage of the value chain.”
The gas transit and supply contracts between Russia and Ukraine expire at 10 am on 1 January 2020 (Moscow time) – the future of Ukraine transit remains the largest uncertainty for global gas markets in 2020. Murray Douglas, director, European gas at global natural resources consultancy Wood Mackenzie, said: “Ukraine remains the major transit route for Russian gas into Europe – over 76 billion cubic metres (cm) will be transported via Ukraine this year."
ExxonMobil is selling its Norwegian business to Eni/HitecVision-owned Vår Energi for US$4.5 billion, Norway’s biggest deal since the Statoil-Norsk Hydro merger in 2006.
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