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A five-year delay to the energy transition could see the global average temperature rise to 3°C above pre-industrial levels.
Home to half of the world’s population and contributing a third to the global GDP, the Asia Pacific region is expected to maintain a 50% share of global primary energy demand and a 60% share of global carbon emissions until 2050. This trend is unlikely to change without strong policy action and investment. However, the region still has the potential to turn these challenges into opportunities and become a global leader in the energy transition.
The rise of electric-arc furnace technology, increased use of green feedstock and evolving carbon policies will reshape steel production and global trade patterns.
Veritas Capital (“Veritas”), a leading investor at the intersection of technology and government, today announced that an affiliate of Veritas has completed the purchase of Wood Mackenzie from Verisk (Nasdaq: VRSK).
How much copper is needed to successfully meet the climate targets set out by the Paris Agreement?
Decarbonising the steel and iron ore industry by 2050, in line with the Paris Climate Agreement, will require US$1.4 trillion of investment and revolution across every stage of the value chain. This presents an urgent challenge and enormous opportunity according to Wood Mackenzie’s latest Horizons research report, Pedal to the metal: Iron and steel’s $1.4 trillion shot at decarbonisation.
War in Ukraine is transforming the outlook for the supply, demand and price of hydrocarbons and the pace and cost of the energy transition. While the precise timing and implementation of future bans on Russian commodity imports are difficult to predict, a rewriting of energy trade flows is now underway.
While recycling can relieve some pressure from the supply deficit of battery raw materials, it will not be able to meet demand, says Wood Mackenzie.
The REPowerEU initiative has the potential to add at least 420 gigawatts (GW) of solar installations by 2030; however, rising solar raw material costs could become the stumbling block to achieving this goal, says Wood Mackenzie.
The race is on in the exploration and development of transition resources required for global decarbonisation. However, the investment environment needs to be more conducive, and the establishment of fair and transparent fiscal policies could be the key, says Wood Mackenzie.
Global economic growth could slow to 2.5% year-on-year in 2022 and 0.7% in 2023 due to the Russia-Ukraine war, says Wood Mackenzie.
The combination of factors including the Russia-Ukraine conflict, stimulated economies, thriving post-pandemic demand, and ongoing Covid constraints on logistics have put supply chains under immense stress, triggering multiple price records for metals and mined commodities.
The latest sanctions by the Australian government in banning exports of alumina and bauxite to Russia adds further disruption to UC Rusal’s supply chain and ultimately on its ability to maintain normal primary aluminium production levels.
China’s renewables manufacturing has emerged from 2021 bigger and more competitive than ever before. Western markets are benefitting from trading with the IKEA of the energy transition, but balancing reliance on China’s technology providers with local interests is now a key political as well as environmental challenge, says Wood Mackenzie.
Trade dislocations due to sanctions, high power prices and disruption to production facilities in the conflict zone are three major threats to the metals and mining industry as result of escalating conflict between Russia and Ukraine, says Wood Mackenzie.
If 2021 was the year of rebound for metals and mining (M&M) commodities, then 2022 is shaping as the year of rebalance, says Wood Mackenzie.
The world has the means, motive and opportunity to cap global warming to the 1.5°C limit agreed in the Paris Climate Accord, new research released today by Wood Mackenzie, a Verisk company (Nasdaq: VRSK) shows. But there will be tangible economic implications of an accelerated energy transition. While global economic output is likely to take a hit until 2050, it could be recoverable by the end of the century, according to Wood Mackenzie.
Sweden has shown it has potential to become a pioneer in green steel production, says Wood Mackenzie.
Wood Mackenzie’s latest report shows that compared to other base metals, China’s copper market appears to be better cushioned from the country’s power crunch.
According to a new report from Wood Mackenzie, a Verisk business (Nasdaq:VRSK), solar power will have a significant impact on demand for aluminium, copper, and zinc, with the usage of all three metals in the sector set to double by 2040.
China’s CATL unveiled its newly-developed sodium-ion battery at a launch event today.
Demand across most commodities in China is expected to slow down in the second half of 2021, according to Wood Mackenzie’s new monthly China Economic Focus report.
Another commodities supercycle is on the horizon, but it will be different from any that have come before. Fossil fuels won’t be in the vanguard and the winners will be the industrial metals needed to electrify society - cobalt, lithium, copper, nickel, and aluminium.
The EU Commission proposed a carbon border adjustment mechanism (CBAM) as part of today’s “Fit for 55” package. James Whiteside, global head of multi-commodity research at Wood Mackenzie, said: “As the first mechanism of its kind, the CBAM is being designed in consultation with industry to avoid unintended consequences. “A CBAM that does not cover a substantial portion of the production chain will encourage carbon leakage - pushing emissions beyond the borders of the EU or shifting competition between EU and non-EU producers to the next stage of the value chain.”
European steelmaker ArcelorMittal today announced plans to become the world’s first steelmaker to produce fossil-free steel using virgin iron. ArcelorMittal, the world’s second largest steelmaker and Europe’s largest producer, plans to produce fossil-free steel via a process known as H-DRI-EAF.
Proposed changes to Chile’s mining royalty regime will not have a drastic impact on the country’s production landscape in the near-term. However, analysis from global natural resources consultancy Wood Mackenzie, a Verisk company (Nasdaq:VRSK), indicates there is clear risk the amendments could compromise continued appetite to make large-scale, long-term investments in Chile’s copper sector.
The global gold industry is broadly on track to align with a 2°C climate target by the end of the current decade. However, more action is required if the industry is to meet – and surpass – the 1.5°C mark, according to a new report from Wood Mackenzie, a Verisk business (Nasdaq:VRSK).
Wood Mackenzie is pleased to announce its acquisition of Roskill, a privately-owned company and leader in metals and materials supply chain intelligence.
China’s state planner the National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) announced today an “indefinite suspension of all activities under China-Australia Strategic Economic Dialogue”. Wood Mackenzie experts weigh in on the event.
China’s march towards carbon neutrality is forcing its aluminium smelters away from using captive coal-fired power, says Wood Mackenzie.
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