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It’s no surprise to see Shell writing down the value of its assets, in line with the new post-pandemic energy demand outlook. In fact, we’ve revised the value of oil and gas assets in Asia Pacific by US$200 billion as a result of a lower oil price outlook.
Chevron continuing to high-grade its portfolio and putting its 16.7% stake in the NWS up for sale makes a lot of sense.
Arrow Energy sanctions Surat Gas Project
Since OPEC+’s failure to agree on production restraint on 5-6 March, the implications of the Covid-19 pandemic have become far clearer, sparking a crisis in the oil market as prices fell and supply ramped up. The problem for these producers is the scale of the fall in oil demand, especially during April and forecast for Q2 2020. No matter the size of the varying forecasts, they all point to a challenging market that puts pressure on storage space and prices.
The oil price crash has hit the upstream sector hard. Deep cuts are being made across the board, but it will have a dramatic impact on the industry’s project pipeline. Global natural resources consultancy Wood Mackenzie believes almost all pre-FID projects will be deferred. Of the 50+ projects we identified with potential to go ahead this year, only 10 have a chance of proceeding, but all are at risk.
In its latest short-term gas and LNG outlook report, Wood Mackenzie weighs the risks coronavirus, sustained low oil prices and LNG oversupply pose to the sector this year.
The coronavirus pandemic is reducing oil demand. The OPEC+ production restraint agreement fell apart on 6 March and Saudi Arabia is rapidly increasing supply. The result: Brent crude has plunged to less than US$30/bbl. This will have a significant impact on currently producing fields and future supply. How low can the price go before different sources of production become uneconomic? Where are production shut-ins most likely? Can governments influence the result?
Wood Mackenzie’s latest analysis reveals that Australia’s next wave of LNG projects are likely to be delayed.
Survival mode has returned to the oil and gas sector as the oil price rout deepens. Corporate financials are in better shape than during the 2014/2015 crash, but room for manoeuvre is limited. Can companies cope with prices this low?
As global markets reel in the wake of the oil price crash, Wood Mackenzie’ corporate analysis team believes the price collapse could be the trigger for a new phase of deep industry restructuring - one that rivals the changes seen in the late-1990s.
The OPEC+ meeting broke up without a deal, what does it mean for the markets?
The government of PNG has called-off negotiations on the development of the ExxonMobil-operated P’nyang gas field.
Wood Mackenzie has identified six themes that will impact Asia Pacific’s gas and LNG markets in 2020.
Wood Mackenzie has identified five themes related to project sanctions, exploration, M&A, energy transition and IMO 2020 that will impact Asia Pacific’s upstream industry in 2020.
Wood Mackenzie’s latest report reveals that LNG sellers with contracts linked to JCC (Japan Crude Cocktail) could lose some US$15 billion in unearned revenues. This is a result of the IMO 2020 regulation limiting sulphur content of marine fuels to up to 0.5%, which directly affects the price of sour crudes such as those composing the JCC mix. The IMO 2020 kicks in on 1st January 2020.
In the latest Australia east coast gas market research, Wood Mackenzie projects that the LNG netback price for Australia’s east coast could bottom out to A$6.50 – A$9 per gigajoule (GJ) over the next two years.
The energy transition is undoubtedly impacting corporate upstream strategies in significant and disruptive ways. Coupled with the post-2014 downturn in oil prices, Wood Mackenzie sees seismic changes in the way the industry allocates capital across development, exploration and in particular M&A.
Santos announced today its plans to acquire ConocoPhillips’s northern Australian portfolio. This is a logical and attractive transaction for a number of reasons.
Wood Mackenzie has identified the five most likely disposal candidates after ExxonMobil signalled the start of its Asia Pacific divestment programme. Together, these opportunities are worth US$5 billion, and could contribute a third of the Supermajor's global divestment target.
ExxonMobil putting its entire Gippsland Basin upstream portfolio up for sale represents big news for the Australian upstream and gas market.
Wood Mackenzie believes that discovering new value requires going beyond isolated datasets. The solution lies in data consortiums – cooperative platforms where companies can safely share quality data.
Wood Mackenzie senior analyst Daniel Toleman shares his thoughts on the event of Prelude's first LNG cargo.
According to research by Wood Mackenzie, a second wave of LNG investments is building, both in Australia and globally, and these projects need to compete to progress
Following PM Scott Morrison's win in the recent 2019 Australia election, Wood Mackenzie and Verisk Maplecroft analysts share their thoughts.
Australia's general election is around the corner and Labor looks set for victory. Labor has announced its commitment to reduce Australia’s carbon emissions by 45% between 2005 and 2030, and to reach net-zero pollution by 2050. It has also proposed changes to existing mechanisms to lower energy and gas prices.
Santos' announced the confirmation of a significant gas resource at Corvus-2 appraisal well. Wood Mackenzie senior analyst Daniel Toleman comments on the announcement.
In a newly published report, Wood Mackenzie notes that the deepwater industry appears in good health, following a sustained cost reduction through the downturn. However this hard work is in danger of being undone, as impending cyclical cost inflation could raise break-even costs once again.
Wood Mackenzie forecasts that global oil and gas development spend needs to increase by around 20% to meet future demand growth and ensure companies sustain production next decade.
Asia-Pacific's oil and gas sector looks set to rebound over the next 12 months as rising demand, stronger commodity prices and an uptick in M&A activity bring greater confidence to the region. Wood Mackenzie predicts rising Asian LNG demand, the return of China's NOCs to growth mode and new appetite for upstream investment to be key factors influencing the sector, not only Asia-Pacific, but also globally into 2019.
The pace and scale of transformation in the east Australian gas market over the past five years has put gas – both its availability and its pricing – firmly on the country’s political agenda. Global natural resources consultancy Wood Mackenzie today releases its Australia East Coast Gas Market Outlook 2018-2032. The report offers a comprehensive overview of the dynamics shaping the gas market, including the drivers of domestic gas demand, how gas flows will change and price dynamics.
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