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The copper industry may be shooting for the stars on demand — but the supply challenge could bring it back down to earth. In the second of a two-part series, Julian Kettle, Senior Vice President, Vice Chair Metals and Mining asks: can the top producers arrest a decline in output with organic project development? Or is it time to buy growth?
With copper on the frontline of the energy transition and a mining super-cycle on the way, can the red metal meet the challenge of transformational demand? Julian Kettle, Senior Vice President, Vice Chair Metals and Mining asks whether a mismatch between the rhetoric and the reality of supply development could constrain copper market growth – and even slow the pace of the energy transition.
After a spectacular rise, Tesla’s shares have been on a downward trend this month. The company’s fundamental prospects still look good
At present, China accounts for almost 75% of global lithium-ion battery manufacturing capacity and this share is set to increase through the short term with its build-out of new facilities.
The global pandemic saw demand for mined commodities slow to a virtual standstill and prices slump. But are we now on the brink of a new super-cycle – or even a super-charged super-cycle? Or are the markets getting ahead of themselves?
Led by Asia, and with vaccine roll-out underway, global economic growth should bounce back strong in 2021. It sets the scene for a much better year in commodity markets. But do surging oil, gas and metals prices point to something more lasting?
Even a global pandemic couldn’t keep climate change from climbing the corporate agenda in 2020, and that momentum will only build in 2021. Which trends will have the biggest impact on extractive industries like oil and gas and mining in the year ahead? Read our analysts’ predictions.
WTI above $50 means US E&Ps can hold production flat while paying down debt. But will they be tempted to go for growth?
Scrap could help to decarbonise the metals and mining industry, and fill a looming supply gap – but policy change will be crucial.
Decarbonisation targets are ramping up, but are the incentives and penalties around carbon emissions really sufficient to put the world on a 2 °C pathway this side of 2030?
Carbon taxes could well provide the economic incentive needed to deliver rapid decarbonisation of the global economy. But what impact will they have on marginal costs and prices for mined commodities? And how does the competitive position of each commodity change under different carbon tax scenarios?
The Inga hydropower scheme in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) could be the key to the green electrification of Africa. But could the project also be a catalyst for the development of vast underutilised resources, creating a centre for low carbon metals production?
Aluminium is both a major contributor to global greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and one of the key energy transition metals needed to build a low-carbon future. Julian Kettle, Senior Vice President, Vice Chair Metals and Mining, asks: can initiatives to cut aluminium’s carbon intensity offset the impact of increasing production?
What’s driving demand for tin? And could a lack of ESG-compliant supply affect the pace of the energy transition?
With ever more bullish price forecasts, copper is flying high – but is enough attention being paid to the risk of substitution associated with such high prices? Julian Kettle, Senior Vice President, Vice Chair Metals and Mining, argues that the threat from aluminium as a viable energy transmission alternative is being vastly underestimated.
With China buying around a third of everything Australia exports on a value basis, the downward spiral in Sino-Australian diplomatic relations is clearly of concern.
Will falling costs secure solar’s dominance in power? Can Europe slash its emissions by 2030? Will China win the clean energy race? What would an accelerated energy transition mean for oil and gas prices? Find out in our Horizons recap.
The shift towards renewable power generation relies on adding transmission capacity. Opposition to new lines makes that an uphill battle.
Constraints on delivering the metals for an accelerated energy transition exist at every level, from insufficient investment to a growing shortage of mining engineering graduates. Julian Kettle, Vice Chair, Metals and Mining, looks at some basic principles behind tackling a complex challenge.
Transportation accounts for 23% of global emissions, so it’s unsurprising that decarbonising the sector is one of the four key pillars of COP26. Dramatically accelerated electric vehicle (EV) uptake is needed to put the world on a 2° C trajectory. Yet there is a very big battery shaped barrier to rapid electrification
REEs are used in many key industries: electrical, oil, wind and electric vehicles. Where are they found and what's their role in the energy transition?
The energy transition starts and ends with metals, so why isn’t ensuring supply high on the agenda?
There is no doubt COP26 will target further reductions in coal use. But not all coal is created equal. Thermal coal will be the main target of policies that aim to keep warming to 1.5 oC or lower.
If the world pursues a 2 °C decarbonisation pathway, a supercycle could exist across a broad spectrum of mined commodities. But how will it happen, if at all?
Get complimentary reports from our 2022 Outlook series, including: aluminium, copper, battery raw materials, nickel, rare earths, coal and more.
Would a merger of Big Oil with Big Mining make sense?
Could extractive companies co-invest or combine with oil and gas Majors to help unlock the energy transition?
Power demand is set to double through 2050. This will happen amid a shift away from fossil fuels and thermal generation capacity and a move towards more renewable power. Much of that renewable power generation is copper-intensive ‒ indeed, electrification cannot happen without it.
A framework for understanding BRMs and their potential roles in the mining Majors’ portfolios
Direct lithium extraction (DLE) offers a faster, more efficient, and environmentally promising alternative to traditional methods but faces cost, scalability and its own environmental hurdles before becoming a major player in the growing lithium market.
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