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Amidst the Russia/Ukraine conflict producers, traders, shippers, refiners and even consumers are all having to adapt to shifting crude and product flows – and pricing.
Is a 1.5 °C pathway feasible, does the conflict in Ukraine change anything and will higher prices affect the progress of the energy transition? Does energy security now trump decarbonisation?
Could the margin-boosting gains shrink under the pressure of supply chain challenges, and what can companies do to ensure their supply chain meets ESG requirements?
Upstream M&A is back with a bang. Are we witnessing the start of another cyclical boom in asset and corporate transactions? Or will it be different this time as the energy transition casts its shadow over the sector?
Big Oil is determined to show it’s part of the solution for climate change. How much has investment in new energy ramped up, where do CCS and hydrogen fit in, and when will spend on low carbon catch up with oil and gas?
The biggest win at COP26 was Article 6. So, how will the Glasgow Climate Pact change carbon markets? How will carbon offsets interact with carbon pricing regimes in future? And how high could carbon prices go?
COP26 has a week to put the world on a 2 °C or lower pathway. Simon Flowers highlights four must-haves that can make a Glasgow Agreement a gamechanger in tackling climate change.
What happens if COP26 doesn’t put the world on a 2 °C or lower pathway? Our latest Energy Transition Outlook explores what happens if COP26 fails to lay down the law on collective goals and actions to tackle climate change.
Geothermal sits with hydrogen and CCS as a future energy play. Could EGS and AGS geothermal systems support our AET-1.5 and AET-2 projected electricity demand?
With the LNG market on fire, soaring gas prices deliver record earnings and cash flow. What challenges will the LNG industry face with the energy transition?
Maximising value through the energy transition is a huge challenge for upstream. The Edge this week asks: how will strategies change? Is consolidation inevitable? And can the industry become more sustainable?
What does a net-zero pathway mean for the oil and gas industry? As capital markets and an ever-widening stakeholder community demand clarity and action on decarbonisation, more of our customers are talking to us about how they should incorporate such scenarios into their planning.
COP26 is where concerted global action on reducing carbon emissions should kick off. The EU is in the vanguard, with plans to reduce emissions by 55% by 2030. Is the EU's ambition achievable? And could it provide a template that others follow?
LNG might be the last great growth opportunity in oil and gas. But the difficult investment environment and buyers’ appetite for low-carbon LNG are among the challenges facing developers.
Green hydrogen is front of mind for investors looking for solutions to cut emissions from hard-to-abate sectors. Is policy going in the right direction? When could green hydrogen become competitive? And what are the risks to realising its potential?
Electric vehicles sales jumped in 2020, against the trend for global light vehicle sales, which fell. Is the expected progressive shift away from ICE vehicles to EVs accelerating?
How capital discipline led a return to value creation
The energy transition will see demand for some metals reach unimagined levels in coming years. Which metals are critical to the transition? How much will we need and what will it cost to develop the supply? And can the mining sector deliver?
LNG demand is set to grow strongly out of the downturn, driven by Asia. A plethora of new projects is lining up to meet a sizeable supply gap that emerges by the end of the decade. What are the risks to our bullish demand scenario? How will new investment in supply be affected by rising ESG concerns? And which pre-FID projects are best placed to fill the supply gap?
The economic fall out from Covid-19, the energy transition and tight finances exacerbated by low prices are three of the big challenges facing energy companies today. How much money is available to invest? Where best to spend it, on legacy oil and gas or new energy? And how will another lurch down in upstream investment affect the global oil market and price?
Refining has been hit hard by the economic fallout of the coronavirus pandemic. Profitability in 2020 will be the lowest this century. When will margins recover? And how will the industry respond to this challenge?
A growing list of zero carbon technologies are vying for capital as energy companies build for the energy transition. In this week's Edge, Simon Flowers looks at why offshore wind stands out from the pack.
Big Oil is on the move, feeling its way into a changing energy world. There are two sides to adapting: how to decarbonise oil and gas and how to build a sustainable business around zero-carbon technology. European and US Majors are following two very different paths.
Gas has had a year to forget so far in 2020. A collapse in oil price and a demand shock caused by coronavirus have added to the challenges of what was already an oversupplied market. Spot gas prices in Europe and Asia have sunk to new lows. How has LNG demand been affected? What's been the impact on supply? Do the events of 2020 change our longer term view of the market? What does the future price curve look like? Find out in this week's Edge.
Faced with US$20/bbl Brent, IOCs and NOCs are cutting costs across the board. What are the implications for a service sector only beginning to emerge from the last crisis? How will NOCs deal with the dual challenge of cutting costs and supporting the domestic economy? Could we see new kinds of relationships develop to ensure the supply chain survives and thrives?
Buoyed by steady growth in oil demand and a culture of capital discipline, refining has been a rock for Big Oil in recent years. Suddenly, there are challenges – not least the threat from coronavirus to oil demand. Where does that leave the outlook for refining in 2020?
Upstream spend on development and exploration is a barometer of the industry’s mood. A muted recovery has been underway since the collapse in investment levels after the 2014 fall in oil price. What’s the forecast for spend in 2020?
Carbon emissions and global temperatures will continue to rise and the world is in danger of falling well short of the 2 °C path set out in the Paris Agreement. That’s the July conclusion of our base case outlook for global energy supply through 2040. We’ve now flexed the base case to look at what might be possible in an accelerated energy transition scenario.
Private equity firms have been among the big buyers of oil and gas assets in the last few years, taking advantage of portfolio restructuring among traditional players during the downturn. What’s the plan for success? And how are the exit options shaping up?
Big Oil faces sluggish oil demand, weak gas prices, the energy transition and the implications of next year’s US Presidential election. How can Big Oil stay investible in this environment?
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