Energy transition outlook: archive
A look back at previous reports shows how the outlook is evolving over time
Our latest energy transition outlook report is the 2026 edition. In it, you’ll find a detailed exploration of five energy transition scenarios:
- Base case: our assessment of the most likely outcome, incorporating the evolution of current policies and technology advancement.
- Country pledges: our view of how countries’ existing long term emissions targets are achieved, roughly in line with a 2 ˚C degree warming trajectory.
- Net zero: a 1.5 ˚C by 2100 pathway, dependent dependent on extraordinary levels of policy ambition, capital mobilisation and technological deployment.
- Energy Security: A security-first pathway where countries prioritise greater energy independence, accelerating electrification and ultimately lowering emissions longer-term compared with our Base Case.
- Growth First: A higher-growth pathway where economic development and affordability take priority, keeping energy demand and fossil fuel use higher for longer.
Explore the 2026 report to get our latest view of the energy transition outlook. You can also access the executive summary of the last years' editions by filling in the form on this page.