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Commodity market report
Macro Oils short-term outlook: Venezuela decline, Permian takeaway crunch, and US/Iran uncertainty
Strength in US supply is contending with geopolitical risk to set oil price direction. This Monthly Update examines oil market influences.
$1,350.00
Summary
Strength in US supply is contending with geopolitical risk to set the direction of oil prices. The steep gains in US oil production offsets some of the market focus on risks to Venezuela's supply and sanctions against Iran. Swift changes to top US foreign policy personnel in March escalated fears of a return to US oil sanctions against Iran, and this has further pressured oil prices to the upside. We have upgraded our oil price outlook for both 2018 and 2019. On the demand side, while we project robust global growth of 1.7 million b/d this year, we are concerned about the threat of an escalating trade war between the US and China. Read this monthly to understand: The extent of our downgrade to Venezuela's oil production outlook, and the reasons for it. How uncertainty surrounding US policy toward Iran will impact the oil market Why Permian basis differentials have blown out; takeaway capacity crunch in sight? Why oil demand reached almost 2 million b/d in Q1 2018. Will it continue?
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Insight
Permian Basin crude infrastructure refresh: Is the basin heading for an overbuild?
Crude production out of the Permian basin is continuing to surge ahead and threaten midstream infrastructure capacity.
$1,350.00
Summary
Crude production out of the Permian basin is continuing to surge ahead and threaten midstream infrastructure capacity. With a number of new build projects moving forward and more still in open seasons, is it possible that the Permian could be headed for a intermediate term overbuild? What could an overbuild imply for Midland basis going forward? And how do new long-haul origin point extensions into the condensate-rich Delaware basin impact the need for new project condensate segregation and batching abilities?
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Country report
Saudi Arabia upstream summary
Saudi Arabia has the highest oil production capacity in the world, estimated at 12 million b/d in 2017. The national oil company, Saudi ...
$9,450.00
Summary
Saudi Arabia has the highest oil production capacity in the world, estimated at 12 million b/d in 2017. The national oil company, Saudi Aramco, is responsible for keeping spare capacity broadly between 1.5 million b/d and 2.0 million b/d and this is a cornerstone of the government's oil policy. Between 2004 and 2009, Saudi Aramco undertook one of its largest-ever programmes of capacity expansion, investing around US$100 billion in a series of mega-projects to increase its total ...
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Asset report
BHP Billiton - US Permian
BHP Billiton is a global natural resources company headquartered in Australia. The company is among the world's largest producers ...
$1,700.00
Summary
BHP Billiton is a global natural resources company headquartered in Australia. The company is among the world's largest producers of major commodities, including metals and coal. BHP Billiton has significant exposure to the upstream oil and gas sector, and acquisitions have given the company positions in several of the leading shale plays in the US Lower 48. This includes the Eagle Ford and Haynesville shales in the Gulf Coast, as well as the Fayetteville Shale in the Mid-Continent ...
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