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China limits imports to support domestic coal prices
Another kneejerk reaction to curb imports and control prices.
$1,100.00
Summary
On 13 April, many ports in China were reported to have started a ban on imports. There were two events that day that likely led to the ban. In the morning, the National Bureau of Statistics in China released 26.7 Mt of coal import for March and, later that day, SXCoal published daily coal prices at RMB570/t for QHD FOB 5500. There are many questions to answer: Why did China start the ban at this time? How did current imports and prices weigh on the decision for a ban? Are further restrictions expected? What is the impact in seaborne market?
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Summary
Kestrel is an underground operation in Queensland’s Bowen Basin, covering the mine leases ML 1978, 70301, 70302 and 70330. Kestrel mined its last block at Kestrel North in the fourth quarter of 2013 and moved into Kestrel South as part of the mine's extension project. The mine produces predominantly hard coking coal for the export market.
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Summary
Hail Creek is a large surface mine located in the Bowen Basin, Queensland, and is covered by mining lease ML4738. The mine is located 40 kilometres north of town of Nebo and 120 kilometres south west of Mackay. It produces high quality hard coking coal and high ash thermal coal for export.
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Commodity market report
India coal short-term outlook March 2018: growing economy sorting out the pains for coal imports
Improved industrial production supports coal demand as Ministry of Coal seek alternatives to improve domestic supply
$1,350.00
Summary
Index of Industrial production grew more than 7% in December and February. Cement production was up 20%, steel production 5% and power generation 6% during December to February period as compared to the year before. This was all on a low base, as late 2016 and early 2017 was impacted by Demonetisation in November 2016. However, all this growth resulted in a 5% increase in coal demand over the same period. With several factors supporting India's growth story in 2018, we look at the potential impact of this demand on the seaborne market for thermal and metallurgical coal.
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Commodity market report
Global metallurgical coal short-term outlook March 2018: Supply availability improves and prices recede
With more supply available, metallurgical coal prices started to decline in mid-March. However, Aurizon’s rail maintenance poses some risk.
$1,350.00
Summary
With more supply available, metallurgical coal prices started to decline in mid-March. Prices were stable at about US$230/t in the early March and fell by about US$40/t by the end of the month. Aurizon’s rail maintenance poses some risk to export levels in the near term as work is moving to the Goonyella line. Over the remainder of the year, numerous global mine expansions, extensions and re-openings will apply downwards pressure on prices.
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