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How will China’s possible ban on scrap imports impact copper supply?
Latest measure to protect the environment expected by the end of 2018.
$700.00
Summary
With greater importance on protecting the environment, China is more actively regulating the import of waste materials. And according to the recycling branch of China's non-ferrous metals association, China may also ban some scrap metal imports. However, we don't think the ban will have a material impact on the global supply-demand balance.
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Commodity market report
Global zinc short-term outlook August 2017
After several attempts over the past year, the zinc price finally breached resistance at $3000/t to a reach a ten year high of $3142/t.
$1,350.00
Summary
For the first time in a decade the zinc price has climbed above $3000/t. The price strength was driven by a combination of improving fundamentals, thin markets and short covering with even retail investors in China getting involved. However, with a muted supply response thus far, the risk of demand destruction is growing.
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Commodity market report
Global steel short-term outlook August 2017
This is a market underpinned by sentiment. A price correction is due imminently.
$1,350.00
Summary
Global steel prices rallied this month. China saw both HR coil and rebar prices expand by 10% month-on-month. The rise means that Chinese HR coil is now more expensive than European HR coil. The last time we saw this was in April 2016 – a month when Chinese steel prices shot up over 20% only to quickly drop back in subsequent months. We expect history to repeat itself and the negative Europe – China spread will not be maintained. In the US, EU and China, the market is frothy – bolstered by sentiment. With prices elevated, global steelmakers are enjoying exceptional margins. They will still be enjoying large margins despite our forecast hefty price falls which we believe are due imminently.
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