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  • Inform

    How will China’s possible ban on scrap imports impact copper supply?

    • 27 July 2017

    Latest measure to protect the environment expected by the end of 2018.

    $700.00

    Summary

    With greater importance on protecting the environment, China is more actively regulating the import of waste materials. And according to the recycling branch of China's non-ferrous metals association, China may also ban some scrap metal imports. However, we don't think the ban will have a material impact on the global supply-demand balance.

    What's included

    • Document

      How will China's possible ban on scrap imports impact copper supply?

      PDF 957.01 KB

  • Commodity market report

    Global zinc short-term outlook August 2017

    • 31 August 2017

    After several attempts over the past year, the zinc price finally breached resistance at $3000/t to a reach a ten year high of $3142/t.

    $1,350.00

    Summary

    For the first time in a decade the zinc price has climbed above $3000/t. The price strength was driven by a combination of improving fundamentals, thin markets and short covering with even retail investors in China getting involved. However, with a muted supply response thus far, the risk of demand destruction is growing.

    What's included

    • Document

      Global zinc short-term outlook August 2017

      PDF 736.97 KB

    • Document

      Data Tables Zinc STO August.xls

      XLS 297.00 KB

    • Document

      Global zinc short-term outlook August 2017

      ZIP 803.13 KB

  • Commodity market report

    Global steel short-term outlook August 2017

    • 31 August 2017

    This is a market underpinned by sentiment. A price correction is due imminently.

    $1,350.00

    Summary

    Global steel prices rallied this month. China saw both HR coil and rebar prices expand by 10% month-on-month. The rise means that Chinese HR coil is now more expensive than European HR coil. The last time we saw this was in April 2016 – a month when Chinese steel prices shot up over 20% only to quickly drop back in subsequent months. We expect history to repeat itself and the negative Europe – China spread will not be maintained. In the US, EU and China, the market is frothy – bolstered by sentiment. With prices elevated, global steelmakers are enjoying exceptional margins. They will still be enjoying large margins despite our forecast hefty price falls which we believe are due imminently.

    What's included

    • Document

      Global steel short-term outlook August 2017

      PDF 499.35 KB

    • Document

      Global steel short-term outlook August 2017

      ZIP 627.03 KB

    • Document

      Global steel markets short-term outlook data August 2017revised.xls

      XLS 310.50 KB