Commodity Market Report

Global ethylene long-term outlook H1 2015

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Although 2015 experienced tight ethylene markets and relatively high margins, a new capacity wave is imminent that is associated with advantaged ethane/LPG feedstocks (in North America and Middle East) and from coal-based units (in China) and will start to add enough supplies to the global ethylene markets to cause a market trough in 2017-2019. 

Table of contents

    • Introduction
    • Material Changes From Last Update
  • Global supply
  • Global demand
  • Global trade
  • Production economics
  • Price forecast
  • China
  • Asia Ex-China
  • Middle East
  • Europe
  • Russia and The Caspian
  • North America
  • Latin America and The Caribbean
  • Polyethylene
  • Monoethylene Glycol
  • Styrene
  • Vinyls
  • Methodology

Tables and charts

This report includes 35 images and tables including:

  • Global Ethylene Capacity Changes
  • Global Ethylene Production by Feedslate
  • Global Ethylene Direct Consumption
  • Global Ethylene Derivative Demand Changes
  • Global Ethylene Monomer Net Trade
  • Global Net Trade as Ethylene Equivalent
  • Feedstock Assumptions
  • Regional Ethylene Production Costs
  • Regional Ethylene Prices
  • Regional Ethylene Margins
  • China Demand
  • China Ethylene Production Capacity
  • Asia Ex-China Net Trade as Ethylene Equivalent
  • Asia Ex-China Ethylene Total Capacity Changes
  • Middle East Ethylene Capacity
  • Middle East Net Trade as Ethylene Equivalent
  • Europe Steam Cracker Production by Feedslate
  • Europe Net Trade as Ethylene Equivalent
  • Russia and The Caspian Ethylene Capacity
  • Russia and The Caspian Net Trade as Ethylene Equivalent
  • North America Steam Cracker Production by Feedslate
  • North America Net Trade as Ethylene Equivalent
  • Latin America and The Caribbean Steam Cracker Production by Feedslate
  • Latin America and The Caribbean Net Trade as Ethylene Equivalent
  • Polyethylene Global Market
  • Polyethylene Per Capita Consumption
  • China Ethylene Glycol Capacity
  • Global Ethylene Glycol Trade
  • Global Styrene Market
  • Global Ethylene Consumption into Styrene
  • Global Vinyls Market
  • Ethylene Consumption into Vinyls
  • Supply/Demand Methodology
  • Price Forecast Methodology
  • Executive summary: Image 1

What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    eth capacityprojects h1 2015 (rev 18Sep15).xls

    XLS 3.28 MB

  • Document

    eth supplydemandbalances h1 2015 (rev 14Aug2015).xls

    XLS 7.56 MB

  • Document

    eth pricecostmargin h1 2015 (rev 11aug15).xls

    XLS 3.01 MB

  • Document

    Graphic File H1 2015.xls

    XLS 7.17 MB

  • Document

    Global ethylene long-term outlook H1 2015

    PDF 1.44 MB

  • Document

    Global ethylene long-term outlook H1 2015

    ZIP 8.17 MB

  • Document

    Executive summary

    PDF 956.28 KB

  • Document

    Global supply

    PDF 98.02 KB

  • Document

    Global demand

    PDF 93.82 KB

  • Document

    Global trade

    PDF 96.94 KB

  • Document

    Production economics

    PDF 89.00 KB

  • Document

    Price forecast

    PDF 89.81 KB

  • Document

    China

    PDF 89.92 KB

  • Document

    Asia Ex-China

    PDF 90.50 KB

  • Document

    Middle East

    PDF 89.68 KB

  • Document

    Europe

    PDF 93.79 KB

  • Document

    Russia and The Caspian

    PDF 89.60 KB

  • Document

    North America

    PDF 94.14 KB

  • Document

    Latin America and The Caribbean

    PDF 92.35 KB

  • Document

    Polyethylene

    PDF 88.96 KB

  • Document

    Monoethylene Glycol

    PDF 92.04 KB

  • Document

    Styrene

    PDF 89.04 KB

  • Document

    Vinyls

    PDF 90.80 KB

  • Document

    Methodology

    PDF 221.66 KB