Commodity Market Report
Global metallurgical coal market short-term outlook September 2022
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*Please note that this report only includes an Excel data file if this is indicated in "What's included" below
Report summary
September proved to be relatively stable for markets, when compared to an extremely volatile year to date. The Queensland PHCC benchmark FOB price traded in a tight price range of US$25/t. There was some early downward pressure driven by weaker demand from India as it nears the end of its monsoon season. While there was also an abundance of imported Chinese and European coke to assist steel margins. A combination of supply concerns in Canada and Australia, together with more crossover tonnes into a boiling thermal coal market, led to a recovery in met coal prices in the second half of the month.
Table of contents
- Queensland benchmark price steady for a change
- Tight domestic Chinese supply supports higher prices
- Outlook: prices to moderate in October before climbing for the remainder of the year
- Outlook: Chinese domestic prices to continue bull run in the near-term
- China: strong seasonal demand supports higher production
- India: rising coking coal imports, falling met coke imports
- South Korea: steel production hit by Typhoon Hinnamnor
- Japan: steel production to scale back in Q4
- Australia: Queensland royalty hike causes investment pause
- Australia: majors planning ahead
- Australia: La Niña official for a third straight year
- Australia: restarts and new greenfield projects have made relatively slow progress
- 7 more item(s)...
Tables and charts
This report includes the following images and tables:
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PLV FoB % Change Month on MonthCFR China % Change Month on MonthKey prices - history & quarterly forecasts (US$/t nominal)
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China BOF and rebar marginsChina BOF/EAF share of steel productionIndian coking coal and met coke pricesAverage monthly rainfall across Qld met coal minesChinese monthly metallurgical coke exports by destination (Mt)Indian coking coal and PCI importsQueensland ports: Met coal exports (Mt per month)
What's included
This report contains:
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