Commodity Market Report

North America coal short-term outlook September 2019: extended summer weather but does that mean a warm winter?

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30 September 2019

North America coal short-term outlook September 2019: extended summer weather but does that mean a warm winter?

Report summary

Summer was extended this month, as hotter than average temperatures across the US helped to extend higher power demand support to the market. However, while this late summer boost may help support stronger power demand now, there are concerns that this warmer weather will be an indication of a warmer winter. We project that there will be a delay in larger heating loads and that this heating demand erosion will discount the benefit of this current heatwave overall.

Table of contents

  • Metallurgical
  • Thermal Export
  • Metallurgical
  • Definition repealed for federally protected waters

Tables and charts

This report includes 7 images and tables including:

  • Key metallurgical coal prices - history and quarterly forecasts (US$/t, nominal)
  • Total EGU coal generation (TWh)
  • Northern Appalachia netback prices into ARA
  • PRB netback prices into South Korea (against Indonesia)
  • Thermal and metallurgical coal exports (Mst)
  • US apparent capacity vs. EIA annualised weekly shipments
  • EGU Stockpiles by Census Region (Mst)

What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    North America coal short-term outlook September 2019: extended summer weather but does that mean a warm winter?

    PDF 1.05 MB

  • Document

    WM Coal Monthly North America September 2019.xlsx

    XLSX 1.93 MB

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