Commodity Market Report
Global gas markets long-term supply outlook - Central Asia - H1 2015
Report summary
We forecast that export volumes from Central Asia will grow from 62 bcm in 2014 to 98 bcm by 2020. Exports to China through an expanded Trans-Asia pipeline are the primary driver for growth.
Table of contents
- Executive summary
-
Supply
-
Turkmenistan
- South Iolotan development provides the basis for a significant production increase
-
Kazakhstan
- Output dominated by associated gas production
-
Uzbekistan
- Foreign investment required to sustain production
-
Turkmenistan
-
Demand
- Domestic gasification facilitates gas demand growth in Kazakhstan and Turkmenistan, but government policy will cause a marginal decline in Uzbekistan
-
Infrastructure
- Pipe
- LNG
-
Supply-demand balances
-
Export potential
- Excess export capacity due to underutilise pipelines to Russia
-
Export potential
-
Contracts
- To Russia
- To China
- To Iran
-
Trade
- Strategy
-
Market access
- Trans-Asia pipeline has opened a new export frontier
-
Recent Trends
- China exports consistently exceed those to Russia, exports to Iran have shown instability
- Outlook
-
Medium term
- Fall in exports to Russia will be offset by growth to China
-
Long term
- Exports to China reach 69 bcm by the late 2020s as flows to Russia dwindle
- Risks and uncertainties
Tables and charts
This report includes 14 images and tables including:
- Map - key domestic and export infrastructure
- Indigenous production potential
- Domestic demand by country
- Export capacity
- Contracted exports vs export potential
- Existing Export Pipelines
- Pipelines Under Construction
- Proposed Pipelines
- Available export volumes vs available export capacity
- Export outlook v export potential
- Export supply mix
- Exports to Russia
- Exports to China
- Exports to Iran
What's included
This report contains:
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