The combination of slower Asian LNG demand growth and low oil prices has developed stronger price convergence between gas spot prices in Asia and Europe. And looking ahead, 130 mmtpa of new supply can be seen coming into the market over the next 5 years, mostly from Australia and the US. As the global market absorbs all the new LNG, as it tries to balance, new floors for spot prices are likely to be tested. We address some of the levers that will influence global gas price floor levels. This includes demand response – coal/gas competition in Europe and additional power demand in Asia including from coal displacement. It also includes supply response – from high cost gas in China, shut-in of US LNG and Russia's behaviour. We conclude that the price of coal will be a key determinant to future gas spot prices and the potential for shut-in of US LNG.