Commodity Market Report

North America gas short-term outlook September 2017: Haynesville production weighs on 2018 prices

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22 September 2017

North America gas short-term outlook September 2017: Haynesville production weighs on 2018 prices

Report summary

Exceptionally mild weather and hurricanes decreased September demand. And while it remains tighter than normal, the supply-demand balance has begun to loosen. Production growth is strong in the Permian and we expect the same in the Northeast as new pipeline capacity comes online. And we have upgraded our Haynesville production outlook due to chokes that are improving well performance--our 2018 price outlook now averages $2.85/mmbtu, albeit with some upside if winter weather is cold or if drilling continues to soften. 

Table of contents

Tables and charts

This report includes 14 images and tables including:

  • Last 12 months weather
  • Supply-demand balance
  • Short-term price outlook
  • Henry Hub price outlook
  • US supply-demand outlook (bcfd)
  • Chart 1: Weather adjusted injections 0.2 bcfd below normal
  • Supply: Table 1
  • Implied prices on hedges added during Q1 2017
  • Twelve-month industrial demand forecast
  • Feedgas projections by terminal
  • Basis outlook and destinations for Northeast supply
  • Regional: Image 2
  • Canada supply-demand outlook (bcfd)
  • Mexico supply-demand outlook (bcfd)

What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    Basis Outlook.xls

    XLS 133.00 KB

  • Document

    Demand Detail.xls

    XLS 698.00 KB

  • Document

    Industrial Index.xls

    XLS 124.00 KB

  • Document

    LNG Detail incl Export.xls

    XLS 226.50 KB

  • Document

    NGL Price Outlook.xls

    XLS 117.50 KB

  • Document

    Northeast Takeaway Capacity.xls

    XLS 511.00 KB

  • Document

    Power Demand Curve.xls

    XLS 124.50 KB

  • Document

    Price Outlook.xls

    XLS 137.00 KB

  • Document

    Storage Outlook.xls

    XLS 155.50 KB

  • Document

    Supply Demand Balances.xls

    XLS 313.00 KB

  • Document

    Supply Detail.xls

    XLS 289.00 KB

  • Document

    North America gas short-term outlook September 2017: Haynesville production weighs on 2018 prices

    PDF 483.07 KB

  • Document

    North America gas short-term outlook September 2017: Haynesville production weighs on 2018 prices

    ZIP 1.96 MB