Commodity Market Report

North America gas weekly update: Higher for longer?

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17 September 2019

North America gas weekly update: Higher for longer?

Report summary

The prompt month contract continues its rally, touching $2.70/mmbtu recently after seeing a nadir near $2.00/mmbtu in early August. Under normal weather conditions, will these prices remain higher for longer? There are certainly factors to support the claim. Production is showing signs of weakness, especially in the Haynesville, and associated gas is not immune, as recent Permian flows have not increased significantly despite Gulf Coast Express already online. LNG exports are surging, despite earlier fears of an oversupplied market, and Mexican exports may surprise to the upside. With the supply-demand imbalance tightening, we seem likely to avert triple-digit injections for the remainder of the season, and as long as we stay beneath the working gas storage five-year average, prices seem likely to keep those winter premiums.

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  • Document

    Imbalance_chart_pred.xlsx

    XLSX 427.60 KB

  • Document

    Scrape_data.xlsx

    XLSX 542.28 KB

  • Document

    Weather_index.xlsx

    XLSX 131.09 KB

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    North America gas weekly update: Higher for longer?

    PDF 921.14 KB

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    North America gas weekly update: Higher for longer?

    ZIP 1.61 MB

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