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Economic focus January 2016: Making sense of chaos

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Report summary

It has been a tumultuous start for global financial markets in 2016. We have seen sharp falls in commodities currencies and equities. What is driving these declines and are concerns justified? China stands at the centre of the turmoil and fears continue to mount about its growth prospects. Fundamentally the outlook for China's real economy remains broadly unchanged. But there are concerns about policy makers ability to deliver a smooth transition to a more free market economy with functioning capital markets. Meanwhile commodity producing economies are vulnerable to further weakness in their currencies and higher interest rates. Sovereign and corporate default in some of these troubled economies looks like a certainty in 2016.

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    Economic focus January 2016: Making sense of chaos

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Table of contents

Tables and charts

This report includes 16 images and tables including:

Images

  • USA Purchasing Managers' Indices
  • Eurozone Purchasing Managers' Indices
  • Japan Purchasing Managers' Indices
  • China Purchasing Managers' Indices
  • Industrial production
  • Industrial production
  • Consumer Sentiment Index (3-month moving avg.)
  • Consumer Sentiment Index (3-month moving avg.)
  • 10-year government bond yields (%)
  • 10-year government bond yields (%)
  • Consumer Price Index (annual % change)
  • Consumer Price Index (annual % change)
  • Exchange Rate Indices vs US$ (Jan 2012 = 100)
  • Exchange Rate Indices vs US$ (Jan 2012 = 100)
  • Oil and gas prices
  • Copper and freight prices

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