Commodity Market Report

Electric Vehicle Service: H2 2019 long-term outlook

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We are pleased to announce the second iteration of the global Electric Vehicles Outlook to 2040. We are continuing to take a holistic look at the drivers and constraints of the electric vehicle market. Wood Mackenzie projects EV sales to reach 47 million vehicles by 2040. EV stock is projected to be at 330 million up from prior estimate of 317 million There were two main highlights in 2019 Battery pack price dropped to ~$150/kWh against the previous projection of $170/kWh 30% year over year reduction in BEV sales in China in the second half of the year.

Table of contents

  • Overview
  • Global EV sales and stock forecast
  • Commercial sales and stock forecast
    • Europe
    • United States
    • China
  • Autonomous electric vehicles (AEVs)
  • E-trucking
  • Auto cost and model trends
  • A new Wood Mackenzie metric: Value Ratio
  • Battery manufacturing capacity
  • Battery cost trends
  • Battery chemistry and technology trends
  • Metals
  • Oil and oil products
  • Europe
  • North America
  • Asia Pacific
  • Global residential and public charging forecast
  • Key drivers and barriers for EV charging adoption
  • Residential charging market
  • Europe
  • North America
    • Public charging market
    • Europe
    • North America
  • Other regional highlight
  • North American and European workplace charging
  • Battery Thermoplastics Indicator

Tables and charts

This report includes 52 images and tables including:

  • Global light-duty vehicle sales
  • Global light-duty vehicle stock
  • Light EV sales by country
  • Light EV stock by country
  • Commercial vehicle sales
  • Commercial vehicle stock
  • Commercial EV sales by region
  • Commercial EV penetration by region
  • Value Ratio by vehicle and year
  • Battery manufacturing capacity by region
  • Battery capacity by region
  • Battery cost forecast
  • Energy density by chemistry
  • Total EV share of demand by metal
  • Total metals demand from EVs
  • Contributions to global liquids demand from cars
  • Globalliquids demand saved in the car sector
  • Global liquids demand product
  • Global liquids demand saved by EVs*
  • Europe generation mix and carbon intensity of power
  • Europe EV power demand
  • North America generation mix and carbon intensity
  • North America EV power demand
  • China generation mix and carbon intensity
  • China EV power demand
  • APAC (ex-China) generation mix and carbon intensity
  • APAC (ex-China) EV power demand
  • Electric Vehicle Charger types
  • Global cumulative charger point deployment by type, 2019 - 2025
  • EV infrastructure deployment drivers and barriers
  • Cumulative global residential charger point stock by charger level and annual equipment market valuation, 2019 - 2025
  • Cumulative residential charger points by region, 2019 - 2025
  • Public charger stock by region, 2019 - 2025
  • Workplace charger characteristics
  • Cumulative workplace charger stock by region, 2019 - 2025
  • Annual workplace charger market valuation by region and type, 2019 - 2025
  • Weight distribution of materials in an ICE mid-size car (1507 kg)
  • Table 1 – Electric batteries specific required properties
  • Polymer Utilization heat map
  • Global electric car stock comparison and adoption drivers by scenario
  • Our integrated methodology allows us to analyse the EV space in great detail.
  • Countries with planned ICE bans
  • List of cities with exiting Low Emission Zones
  • EU fuel efficiency standards for new cars
  • EV car sales % in Europe
  • US Light duty vehicle sales
  • US light duty vehicle stock
  • Dynamics behand China EV sales
  • China EV outlook
  • Global cumulative public charger points by type and annual equipment market valuation, 2019 - 2025
  • Public charger point installations in Europe by type, 2019 - 2025
  • Public charger installations in North America by type, 2019 - 2025

What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    Electric Vehicle Service: H2 2019 long-term outlook

    ZIP 3.30 MB

  • Document

    WM_EV_LTO_H2 2019_V5.xlsx

    XLSX 470.92 KB