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Aluminium market outlook - 2013 review and events to watch in 2014

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Report summary

2013 was a challenging year for the aluminium industry as the low price environment made an estimated 20Mt of smelter output unprofitable. The unrelenting squeeze on smelters' margins was the result of low aluminium prices and resilient alumina prices during the year which forced the closure of an estimated 1.2Mt/a of high cost capacity in the world outside China (ROW). China curtailed around 2Mt/a of high cost capacity however the country also completed an estimated 4Mt/a of new capacity.

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    Aluminium market outlook - 2013 review and events to watch in 2014

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Table of contents

Tables and charts

This report includes 8 images and tables including:

Images

  • Price, premium and cost, 2012
  • Aluminium market outlook - 2013 review and events to watch in 2014: Image 2
  • Stock financing was very profitable in 2013
  • Regional growth in demand, 2013-2014, (y-o-y %)
  • Aluminium market outlook - 2013 review and events to watch in 2014: Image 5
  • China’s refineries projected to have 78 weeks import bauxite stockpiled at end 2013

Tables

  • Voluntary smelter curtailments effective since October 2011, kt/a
  • Rest of World alumina balances, China imports and Spot prices, 2012-2013, (kt)

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