From aluminium producer to consumer: Developing the Middle Eastern downstream sector Report

Insight 22 July 2015

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Report summary

The shift to add value downstream to the Middle Eastern aluminium industry is gathering pace with a range of investments in the pipeline. However, the margin between success and failure downstream is small. Success factors in aluminium semis are significantly different to those in primary aluminium. We assess the underlying structure of regional demand, the key players and the opportunities and risks associated with a strategy of building a significant local downstream capability in the region.

Executive Summary
Background and context
What's driving downstream aluminium development in the region?
Construction and packaging dominate the demand landscape
For now It's all about extrusions, can stock and foil
- Packaging dominates GCC foil demand
Will growth in downstream be sustainable and profitable?
Can the success of primary aluminium be replicated down the supply chain?
Conclusions – beware the pitfalls of adding value

Tables and charts

This report includes 16 images and tables including:

Middle Eastern primary output hitting new highs over the medium term
Regional aluminium industry shifting up and down the value chain
Project value by country

Transport infrastructure tops the list
Construction and packaging will continue to capture a greater share of Middle Eastern demand
Selected local aluminium product producers
FRP and foil dominate Chinese exports to GCC markets
Major regional extruders by capacity and main alloys
Selected aluminium can stock consumers in MENA
Downstream investment provides significant employment creation opportunities
Capital intensity of downstream projects is high in relative terms
Ease of market entry/exit plays a key role in setting margins
The basis for competition varies by individual rolled product....
....and significantly different in extrusions
Demand for foil by end use industry
Regional demand for foil products