Commodity Market Report
Global bulk steel alloys strategic planning outlook - Q1 2023
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*Please note that this report only includes an Excel data file if this is indicated in "What's included" below
Report summary
After a year marred by gloomy macroeconomic sentiment and weak end-use consumption, most western economies are set perform better than initially feared prior to Q4 2022. Along with the "reopening" of China, following a year of disruptive lockdowns, this will provide a boost to bulk alloy consumption over the early-2020s. Beyond this, a decline in China's crude steel output will undermine consumption, though stainless steel will provide some upside for ferrochrome and ferrosilicon. Due to slower long-term demand growth, bulk alloy markets will be adequately supplied by existing capacity and known projects, through much of the outlook.
Table of contents
- Crude steel and stainless steel: India to provide only limited offset on China decline
- Demand: Moderate growth to bulk alloys offered by stainless steel and specialty steels
- Prices: Despite softening costs, some alloy prices remain below costs fundamentals and will rebound
- Supply: China remains crucial to long-term supply, despite a scale-down in capacity
- Silicon metal’s role in renewable energy means stronger demand growth than ferrosilicon
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Chromium
- Chromium ore
- Chromium ore price forecast
- Ferrochrome
- Ferrochrome price forecast
- Risks to the base case
- Risks to forecast UG2 supply
- Developments in China
- Developments in South Africa
- 2 more item(s)...
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Manganese
- Manganese ore
- Manganese ore price forecast
- Manganese alloy (SiMn and FeMn) market balance
- Manganese alloy price forecast
- Manganese metal market balance
- Manganese metal and medium-carbon ferromanganese (MC FeMn) price outlook
- High-purity manganese sulphate market balance
- High-purity manganese sulphate price outlook
- 1 more item(s)...
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Silicon
- Ferrosilicon
- Ferrosilicon price forecast
- Silicon metal
- Silicon metal price forecast
- Key risks to ferrosilicon and silicon metal base case price forecasts
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Crude steel production trends
- Chinese output to edge up, India will continue to ride the momentum in 2023
- India and Southeast Asia to be the torchbearers for long-term supply growth; Chinese output falls amid dwindling demand
- Stainless steel production trends
- Chromium
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Manganese
- Manganese in batteries
- 5 more item(s)...
Tables and charts
This report includes the following images and tables:
- Forecast crude stainless steel production
- Chromium consumption outlook to 2050 by first use
- Consumption of ferrochrome by steel type
- Chromium ore and ferrochrome demand
- Outlook for global average manganese intensity of crude steel
- Manganese alloy and metal consumption outlook
- Manganese consumption by first use
- Chromium ore supply-demand balance outlook
- Future requirement for chromium ore supply
- South African 42-44% LG-MG ore vs 40-42% UG2 price outlook - real forecast
- South African 42-44% LG-MG ore vs Turkish 40-42 % ore price outlook - real forecast
- 47 more item(s)...
What's included
This report contains:
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