Commodity Market Report

Global Zinc Report Q1 2019

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Why buy this report?

Access our most up-to-date forecasts of refined zinc and concentrate supply, demand and prices, and understand zinc market dynamics affecting zinc to 2040.

What key questions does this zinc report answer?

  • How will decelerating economic growth in Europe and China affect zinc consumption?
  • Where do we see new zinc demand coming from?
  • Will the zinc industry be able to build new capacity to meet growth in the zinc market demand?
  • What we expect for mine supply and production and how this will impact market balances.

This zinc market report also comes with charts and data sets, including this analysis of market balances.

Global zinc balance

28 March 2019

Global Zinc Report Q1 2019

Report summary

The Global Zinc Report provides the latest update of detailed supply and demand analysis and price forecasts for the zinc market out to 2040. In the medium to long term, the key issue is whether the zinc smelting industry will be able to raise utilisation rates and build new capacity to meet growth in demand for metal. This structural issue will play a pivotal role in the zinc price climbing to its highest level for 10 years.

Table of contents

  • Key Points
  • Demand – what's changed?
  • Supply – what's changed?
    • China
    • Japan
    • India
    • Europe
    • USA
    • First use
    • End use
    • Overview
    • Africa
    • Asia
    • Europe
    • Latin America
    • Middle East
    • North America
    • Oceania
    • Russia and the Caspian
    • World zinc mine production capability and mine projects
    • Overview
    • Africa
    • Asia
    • Europe
    • Russia and the Caspian
    • Middle East
    • Latin America
    • North America
    • Oceania
    • Zinc market dynamic
    • Supply and Demand - Base Case and Long Term
    • Long-term Zinc Price Forecasts
    • Scenario analysis

Tables and charts

This report includes 49 images and tables including:

  • Manufacturing activity in all of the world's major economies is expanding
  • Global slab zinc consumption by region
  • Global slab zinc consumption by region
  • Global slowdown a risk
  • The need to lighten cars helped reduce zinc's intensity of use
  • China totally dominates global zinc consumption
  • Chinese per capita consumption will not track Japan and South Korea
  • Asia (ex-China) consumption
  • Indian first use is dominated by galvanizing
  • European zinc consumption will stagnate
  • European construction activity slumps
  • Turkey is forecast to become Europe's largest zinc consumer
  • Global first use consumption for zinc
  • Global zinc consumption by end use
  • World capability forecasts by region and global market adjustment
  • Mine adjustment breakdown
  • African zinc mine production
  • Asian zinc mine production
  • European zinc mine production
  • Latin American zinc mine production
  • Middle Eastern mine production
  • North American zinc mine production
  • Oceania zinc mine production
  • Russia and the Caspian
  • Requirement and sources of future mine production
  • Possible project changes since previous quarter
  • World capability forecasts by region and global market adjustment kt
  • African zinc smelter production capability
  • Asian zinc smelter production capability
  • European zinc smelter production capability
  • Russia and the Caspian zinc smelter production capability
  • Latin American zinc smelter production capability
  • North American zinc smelter production capability
  • Oceania zinc smelter production capability
  • Requirement and sources of future smelter production
  • Zinc metal and concentrate stock cycle (kt Zn)
  • LME cash zinc prices and base case forecast 1950- 2035
  • Sources of future supply
  • Zinc smelter utilisation
  • Forecast stocks and prices
  • Price forecasts and refined marked balances
  • Concentrate market balances
  • US$ Trade Weighted Index versus zinc price with TWI averages
  • Zinc price forecasts (nominal $/t)
  • Zinc price forecasts (real $/t)
  • Comparison of base case and scenario outcomes

What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    Slide Pack Zinc LTO Q1 2019.pdf

    PDF 1.61 MB

  • Document

    Market balance and prices zinc LTO Q1 2019.xls

    XLS 704.00 KB

  • Document

    Demand main changes zinc LTO Q1 2019.xls

    XLS 251.50 KB

  • Document

    Demand analysis zinc LTO Q1 2019.xls

    XLS 1.46 MB

  • Document

    Production rankings zinc LTO Q1 2019.xls

    XLS 158.50 KB

  • Document

    Equity Production zinc LTO Q1 2019.xls

    XLS 8.75 MB

  • Document

    Supply main changes zinc LTO Q1 2019.xls

    XLS 200.50 KB

  • Document

    Mine analysis zinc LTO Q1 2019.xls

    XLS 2.65 MB

  • Document

    Smelter analysis zinc LTO Q1 2019.xls

    XLS 3.45 MB

  • Document

    Global zinc long-term outlook Q1 2019

    PDF 1.50 MB

  • Document

    Global zinc long-term outlook Q1 2019

    ZIP 6.78 MB

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