Asset Report

Liberia Liberia exploration basin

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21 November 2016

Liberia Liberia exploration basin

Report summary

Liberia's history of political and economic instability, combined with the Ebola outbreak in 2014, has resulted in little to no exploration in past couple of years. The country's position along the West African Transform Margin made it attractive to explorers looking to replicate the recent success in countries such as Ghana, however disappointing exploration results offshore Liberia and Sierra Leone have led to tapered expectations. All current acreage is in the deep to ultra-deepwater environment with high E&A costs and essentially zero infrastructure available. With no commercial fields and no existing infrastructure, early developments with have to support the cost of the country's upstream industry. High costs paired with modest success rates in a low price environment generates value destruction across the basin.

Table of contents

  • Key facts
    • Key issues include:
  • Location maps
  • Participation
  • Geology
    • Wells drilled
    • Basin success rates
    • Volumes discovered
    • Yet-to-find potential
    • Play inputs
      • Model field pool size distribution
      • Existing discoveries and modelled yet-to-find pool size distribution
    • Yet-to-find costs and underlying development assumptions
  • Costs
    • Licensing
    • Fiscal terms
    • TYP economics
    • Outlook economics
      • Development value
      • Prospect breakeven price
      • Expected monetary value (EMV)
      • Play economics
      • Full cycle basin economics

Tables and charts

This report includes 41 images and tables including:

  • Key play data
  • Price Assumptions
  • Value creation versus investment (TYP period)
  • Value creation versus investment (outlook)
  • Exploration wells by play
  • Licensed exploration acreage
  • Expiry forecast of current licences
  • Key play characteristics
  • Summary of discovery and development costs
  • Exploration and appraisal spend
  • Exploration spend per well and average well depth
  • Commerciality index
  • Drilling activity by well type
  • Discoveries and success rate
  • Discoveries and success rates
  • Discoveries by licence year and drilling year
  • Basin creaming curve
  • Key basin data
  • Volumes discovered by year
  • Average discovery size and volume per well by year
  • Top discoveries (2016-2035)
  • Cumulative discoveries by play
  • Cumulative volumes discovered by play
  • Forecast data by play (2016-2035)
  • Chart title goes here
  • Reserves and resources: Table 4
  • Cretaceous Deepwater
  • Typical fiscal terms
  • Value creation, exploration spend & volume discovered
  • Returns by drilling year
  • Breakeven price versus prospect size
  • Value creation versus investment
  • Cretaceous Deepwater
  • Cretaceous Deepwater
  • Value of potential discoveries
  • Unit value of potential discoveries
  • Breakeven price of exploration
  • Discount rate breakeven price sensitivities
  • Cretaceous Deepwater
  • Cretaceous Deepwater
  • Full-cycle economic analysis

What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    Liberia Liberia.zip

    ZIP 2.61 MB

  • Document

    Liberia Liberia exploration basin

    PDF 3.74 MB

  • Document

    Liberia Liberia exploration basin

    ZIP 6.25 MB

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