Name: WECC power markets short-term outlook January 2016
Brand: Wood Mackenzie
SKU: 44595
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Author: Wood Mackenzie

Commodity Market Report 12 February 2016

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            <h3 class="mega store_featured_content_extrabold store_font_black">Report summary</h3>
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Power demand in the current outlook remains steady; however, downside forces are accumulating.  Declines in power prices are partially being offset by increasing implied market heat rates. However, recent and forthcoming capacity additions in ERCOT continue to compress prices. In other markets, nuclear retirements will have a significant impact on Northeast operations.  In the WECC, the 2016 Pacific Northwest hydro run is expected to be about 6 percent lower than previously forecasted.  </div>
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                    <h3 class="alpha push-half--bottom">Table of contents</h3>

<li class="list__item-toggle font-semibold">
        Executive summary
    </li>

<li class="list__item-toggle">
        <a href="#120edd39-b06d-46e6-81f0-14ab54bd050d" class="js-toggle-local list__link-toggle dark-link font-semibold" role="button" aria-controls="120edd39-b06d-46e6-81f0-14ab54bd050d" aria-expanded="false">
            Fundamentals
        </a>
        <ul id="120edd39-b06d-46e6-81f0-14ab54bd050d" class="panel-toggle push-half--left push-half--bottom">
                <li class="push-quarter--bottom">
        Natural gas prices slightly stronger for balance of the winter season
            <ul id="917cf625-168f-4449-9416-b73d8a7a0776" class="push-half--left">
                    <li class="push-quarter--bottom">
        Coal supply will reinforce any weather driven downturn in the outlook
    </li>
    <li class="push-quarter--bottom">
        Oil surplus to help tighten gas markets
    </li>

</ul>
    </li>

<li class="list__item-toggle">
        <a href="#dfdba680-3567-468e-9c3b-a69906ef2c71" class="js-toggle-local list__link-toggle dark-link font-semibold" role="button" aria-controls="dfdba680-3567-468e-9c3b-a69906ef2c71" aria-expanded="false">
            Generation balances and prices
        </a>
        <ul id="dfdba680-3567-468e-9c3b-a69906ef2c71" class="panel-toggle push-half--left push-half--bottom">
                <li class="push-quarter--bottom">
        Eastern power prices continue to remain under pressure from both supply and demand risks
            <ul id="702540f9-c5fb-4f26-b904-723fbc904c25" class="push-half--left">
                    <li class="push-quarter--bottom">
        Power demand remains a downside risk as industrial production lags
    </li>
    <li class="push-quarter--bottom">
        Renewable additions highlight changes in capacity mix
    </li>

</ul>
    </li>
    <li class="push-quarter--bottom">
        Few positives, although regional implied market heat rates suggest some support for gas-fired generators
            <ul id="f494e855-fb78-469a-b2e7-9288cd6df5e1" class="push-half--left">
                    <li class="push-quarter--bottom">
        Nuclear uncertainty highlights the Northeast
    </li>

</ul>
    </li>
    <li class="push-quarter--bottom">
        WECC demonstrates correlation of power and natural gas markets
    </li>

</ul>
    </li>

<li class="list__item-toggle font-semibold">
        Scenario Overview
    </li>

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<h3 class="alpha push-half--bottom">Tables and charts</h3>

<p class="push-half--bottom">This report includes the following images and tables:</p>

<ul class="list list--bullets">
        <li class="list__item push-quarter--bottom">Figure 5: North American power generation balances and fuel prices</li><li class="list__item push-quarter--bottom">Figure 1: Changes in Eastern power market fundamentals (Relative to December 2015 LTO)</li><li class="list__item push-quarter--bottom">Generation balances and prices: Image 3</li><li class="list__item push-quarter--bottom">Figure 4: Relative changes in WECC markets’ power price metrics</li><li class="list__item push-quarter--bottom">Generation balances and prices: Image 2</li>
    </ul>

</div>

<div class="col small-12 large-4 push--bottom">
                    
<h3 class="alpha push-half--bottom ">What's included</h3>
<p class="push-half--bottom ">This report contains:</p>
<ul class="list"><li class="list__item-icon push-half--bottom"><svg class="list__image-icon" width="13.9" height="17.2" viewBox="0 0 13.9 17.2"><title>Document</title><g fill="#232323"><path d="M13.8 3.5L10.3.2c-.1-.2-.2-.2-.3-.2H1.5C.7 0 0 .7 0 1.5v14.2c0 .8.7 1.5 1.5 1.5h10.9c.8 0 1.5-.7 1.5-1.6V3.8c0-.1 0-.2-.1-.3zm-3.4-1.8l1.7 1.6h-1.7V1.7zm2 14.4H1.5c-.2 0-.5-.2-.5-.5V1.5c0-.2.3-.5.5-.5h7.8v2.9c0 .2.2.5.5.5h3.1v11.3c0 .2-.2.4-.5.4z"></path><path d="M11.1 6.3H3.7c-.2 0-.5.2-.5.5s.2.5.5.5H11c.3 0 .6-.2.6-.5s-.3-.5-.5-.5zM11.1 12.6H3.7c-.2 0-.5.2-.5.5 0 .2.2.5.5.5H11c.3 0 .6-.2.6-.5-.1-.3-.3-.5-.5-.5zM3.7 10.4H11c.3 0 .6-.2.5-.5 0-.2-.2-.5-.5-.5H3.6c-.2 0-.5.2-.5.5 0 .2.2.5.6.5z"></path></g></svg>
<p class="font-regular" >NAPS STO STV WECC 1 30 2016.xls</p>
<p class="uppercase delta">
    <span>XLS</span>
    <span>26.61 MB</span>
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</li><li class="list__item-icon push-half--bottom"><svg class="list__image-icon" width="13.9" height="17.2" viewBox="0 0 13.9 17.2"><title>Document</title><g fill="#232323"><path d="M13.8 3.5L10.3.2c-.1-.2-.2-.2-.3-.2H1.5C.7 0 0 .7 0 1.5v14.2c0 .8.7 1.5 1.5 1.5h10.9c.8 0 1.5-.7 1.5-1.6V3.8c0-.1 0-.2-.1-.3zm-3.4-1.8l1.7 1.6h-1.7V1.7zm2 14.4H1.5c-.2 0-.5-.2-.5-.5V1.5c0-.2.3-.5.5-.5h7.8v2.9c0 .2.2.5.5.5h3.1v11.3c0 .2-.2.4-.5.4z"></path><path d="M11.1 6.3H3.7c-.2 0-.5.2-.5.5s.2.5.5.5H11c.3 0 .6-.2.6-.5s-.3-.5-.5-.5zM11.1 12.6H3.7c-.2 0-.5.2-.5.5 0 .2.2.5.5.5H11c.3 0 .6-.2.6-.5-.1-.3-.3-.5-.5-.5zM3.7 10.4H11c.3 0 .6-.2.5-.5 0-.2-.2-.5-.5-.5H3.6c-.2 0-.5.2-.5.5 0 .2.2.5.6.5z"></path></g></svg>
<p class="font-regular" >WECC power markets short-term outlook January 2016</p>
<p class="uppercase delta">
    <span>PDF</span>
    <span>368.00 KB</span>
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