Hurricane Ida refinery I/O impact assessment Report

Insight 13 September 2021

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Report summary

Hurricane Ida continues to cause historic disruptions to both crude oil and refined products supply and refiner demand for crude oil along the US Gulf Coast market. In this report, Wood Mackenzie presents the new Refinery I/O service, offering a detailed look into the storm’s supply and demand impacts and resulting price changes. Inside this report, Wood Mackenzie examines Refinery I/O crude runs and refined product impacts, compares Refinery I/O output to weekly EIA, analyzes Hurricane Ida’s Refinery I/O impacts compared to previous storms, examines the resulting refinery margin price changes, highlights Refinery I/O company analysis, and gives a brief overview of Refinery I/O methodology.

Introduction
Results and discussion
- Refinery I/O assesses the downstream impact and offers insight into crack spreads
Historical Comparison
- Hurricane Ida refinery crude run impact compared to previous storms
EIA comparison
- Refinery I/O comparison benchmark to weekly EIA crude runs
Refinery I/O company analysis:
- Refinery I/O Hurricane Ida refinery operator analysis
What is Refinery I/O?

Tables and charts

This report includes 9 images and tables including:

TX and LA refinery crude runs (change since initial impact), Ida vs. past storms
Refinery I/0
Refinery I/O

PADD 3 crude demand loss: Change from 25 August
Wood Mackenzie weekly FCC margins
PADD 3 refined production loss: change from 25 August
TX and LA refinery crude runs (change since initial impact), Ida vs. past storms
US weekly crude runs: 4 weeks average delta Refinery I/O vs. EIA
Refinery I/O selected refinery operator crude runs