Insight
Contango - Futures Price and the 'Bid for Storage'
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Report summary
The shape or time structure of the futures market is a powerful, real-time market signal that can complement fundamental supply/demand analysis and improve short term price forecast. The futures market discounts risk; the risk of supply shortages and the risk of high inventories and storage containment. Backward futures markets are consistent with a demand pull out of inventory while contango markets are consistent with a supply push into inventory.
Table of contents
- Contango Futures Market – The economic incentive to hold excess inventory
- A widely used risk management tool
- Contango and Cost of Storage (COS)
-
2012 Ethane Regime Change
- Ethane Supply Surge
-
WTI - Recent transition from backward to contango
- WTI January 2015 projection based on recent trends and correlations
- Summary
Tables and charts
This report includes 10 images and tables including:
- Example of Contango Storage Price Parities
- WTI September 2014 to December 2014 M1-M4 Futures Shape
- WTI - October Inventory Builds Pushed Curve into Contango
- Strong Relationship Between WTI Price and Future's Shape
- WTI Price
- Contango - Futures Price and the 'Bid for Storage': Image 11
- Contango - Futures Price and the 'Bid for Storage': Image 4
- Contango - Futures Price and the 'Bid for Storage': Image 5
- Contango - Futures Price and the 'Bid for Storage': Image 6
- Contango - Futures Price and the 'Bid for Storage': Image 12
What's included
This report contains:
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