Energy transition outlook: archive
A look back at previous reports shows how the outlook is evolving over time
Our latest energy transition outlook report is the 2025 edition. In it, you’ll find a detailed exploration of four energy transition scenarios:
- Base case: our assessment of the most likely outcome, incorporating the evolution of current policies and technology advancement.
- Country pledges: our view of how countries’ existing long term emissions targets are achieved, roughly in line with a 2 ˚C degree warming trajectory.
- Net zero: a 1.5 ˚C by 2100 pathway, dependent dependent on extraordinary levels of policy ambition, capital mobilisation and technological deployment.
- Delayed transition: assumes a five-year delay to global decarbonisation efforts due to ongoing geopolitical barriers, reduced policy support for new technologies and cost headwinds.
Explore the 2025 report to get our latest view of the energy transition outlook. You can also access the executive summary of the last two years' editions by filling in the form on this page.