Insight

Australia coal supply set to surge on high prices

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Report summary

Coal exports from Australia could be on the cusp of a stronger than expected rebound given the ongoing strength in benchmark hard coking coal and Newcastle thermal coal prices. Elevated prices and significant cashflow generation has swayed a number of producers in Australia to re-assess mine production plans and fast-track expansion projects, re-invest in largely brownfield/underground mine extensions previously planned to close in the next couple of years and re-open closed mines. This comes in addition to a number of greenfield projects recently commissioned and nearing completion which continued to progress counter-cyclically during 2016. In this insight we take a closer look at the metallurgical and thermal coal supply expansions and extensions underway and being proposed in Australia.

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    Australia coal supply set to surge on high prices

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    Australia coal supply capacity set to surge on high prices.xls

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Table of contents

    • Australia coal export supply could surge 14%, or 56 Mtpa by 2021
    • Yancoal, MACH Energy and Fitzroy could add more thermal coal export supply

Tables and charts

This report includes 8 images and tables including:

Images

  • Australian coal export supply scenario
  • Potential export supply changes v Q4 2017 dataset
  • Operating mine expansion to match project growth in 2018
  • Export supply expansion by coal type
  • Australia coal supply set to surge on high prices: Image 5
  • Potential export supply changes v Q4 2017 dataset
  • Australia seaborne thermal coal export supply scenari
  • Potential export supply changes v Q4 2017 dataset

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