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Global coal: 2015 in review and what to look for in 2016

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27 January 2016

Global coal: 2015 in review and what to look for in 2016

Report summary

Now that 2015 has passed into history we can reflect on a tumultuous year in coal markets; a year which started with additional restrictions on the import of coal into China and ended with the first global agreement to control global temperature increases. The factors weighing on demand and prices in 2015 look set to continue through 2016 which will offer little hope of a major turnaround for the coal market.

Table of contents

    • No escaping the influence of China
      • Approach to capacity crisis should become clearer in 2016
      • No resolution to China's problems in 2016
    • Demand elsewhere is mixed
      • Asia
      • Americas
      • COP21 a potential game-changer for demand, but not yet
    • Production costs continue to fall, and prices will follow
    • Accelerating bankruptcies, restructures and closures a sign of things to come
      • Igniting M&A activity
    • Supply exodus not yet enough to force a sustained turnaround in prices
    • Conclusion

Tables and charts

This report includes 8 images and tables including:

  • Global coal: 2015 in review and what to look for in 2016: Image 1
  • Seaborne metallurgical coal cash costs
  • Seaborne thermal coal cash costs
  • Seaborne thermal coal prices (US$/t, FOB)
  • Seaborne metallurgical coal prices (US$/t, FOB)
  • Seaborne demand change (2015 vs. 2014)
  • Seaborne supply change (2015 vs. 2014)
  • Announced coal M&A spend by region (2009-2015) (US$Bn)

What's included

This report contains:

  • Document

    Global coal: 2015 in review and what to look for in 2016

    PDF 454.80 KB

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