Insight
Global coal: 2015 in review and what to look for in 2016
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Report summary
Now that 2015 has passed into history we can reflect on a tumultuous year in coal markets; a year which started with additional restrictions on the import of coal into China and ended with the first global agreement to control global temperature increases. The factors weighing on demand and prices in 2015 look set to continue through 2016 which will offer little hope of a major turnaround for the coal market.
What's included
This report contains
Table of contents
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Executive summary
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No escaping the influence of China
- Approach to capacity crisis should become clearer in 2016
- No resolution to China's problems in 2016
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Demand elsewhere is mixed
- Asia
- Americas
- COP21 a potential game-changer for demand, but not yet
- Production costs continue to fall, and prices will follow
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Accelerating bankruptcies, restructures and closures a sign of things to come
- Igniting M&A activity
- Supply exodus not yet enough to force a sustained turnaround in prices
- Conclusion
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No escaping the influence of China
Tables and charts
This report includes 8 images and tables including:
Images
- Global coal: 2015 in review and what to look for in 2016: Image 1
- Seaborne metallurgical coal cash costs
- Seaborne thermal coal cash costs
- Seaborne thermal coal prices (US$/t, FOB)
- Seaborne metallurgical coal prices (US$/t, FOB)
- Seaborne demand change (2015 vs. 2014)
- Seaborne supply change (2015 vs. 2014)
- Announced coal M&A spend by region (2009-2015) (US$Bn)
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