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Metallurgical coal price spike: Will it last?

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Report summary

Memories of the Queensland floods of 2010 11 have been rekindled theby the meteoric rise in metallurgical coal prices in August and September. Supply disruption due to Government policy production mishaps and weather have occurred in both China and Australia whilst seasonal demand in China and unexpected additional demand from India have compounded the market tightness. Prices have spiked to around US$200/t in recent days. At such high prices the incentives are high for new supply but production constraints and reticence from some miners to re enter the market after years of pain will keep things tight in 2016.

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