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Understanding the recent surge in Chinese thermal coal prices

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China's domestic thermal coal prices have been on an upward trend for the past four months, following a fatal mine accident in Shanxi province on 22 May that claimed 82 lives. Most notably, QHD prices rose by RMB67/t to RMB947/t during the week of 31 August to 4 September.

Table of contents

  • What directly drove QHD prices higher?
  • What is the current supply situation?
  • What does coal demand look like?
  • Why did the daily price gains accelerate from around RMB 10/t to RMB 20/t in the latter part of the week?
  • What is the near-term price outlook?

Tables and charts

This report includes the following images and tables:

    QHD prices and coal inventories at ports

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    Understanding the recent surge in Chinese thermal coal prices

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